The former CBO director, Douglas Holtz-Eakin, warns today on the effect ObamaCare will have on our economy and health care. These facts should be painfully obvious to those with even one iota of common sense. This bill will lead to a huge middle class tax increase:

Remember when health-care reform was supposed to make life better for the middle class? That dream began to unravel this past summer when Congress proposed a bill that failed to include any competition-based reforms that would actually bend the curve of health-care costs. It fell apart completely when Democrats began papering over the gaping holes their plan would rip in the federal budget.

As it now stands, the plan proposed by Democrats and the Obama administration would not only fail to reduce the cost burden on middle-class families, it would make that burden significantly worse.

~~~

The bill creates a new health entitlement program that the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates will grow over the longer term at a rate of 8% annually, which is much faster than the growth rate of the economy or tax revenues. This is the same growth rate as the House bill that Sen. Kent Conrad (D., N.D.) deep-sixed by asking the CBO to tell the truth about its impact on health-care costs.

To avoid the fate of the House bill and achieve a veneer of fiscal sensibility, the Senate did three things: It omitted inconvenient truths, it promised that future Congresses will make tough choices to slow entitlement spending, and it dropped the hammer on the middle class.

One inconvenient truth is the fact that Congress will not allow doctors to suffer a 24% cut in their Medicare reimbursements. Senate Democrats chose to ignore this reality and rely on the promise of a cut to make their bill add up. Taking note of this fact pushes the total cost of the bill well over $1 trillion and destroys any pretense of budget balance.

It is beyond fantastic to promise that future Congresses, for 10 straight years, will allow planned cuts in reimbursements to hospitals, other providers, and Medicare Advantage (thereby reducing the benefits of 25% of seniors in Medicare). The 1997 Balanced Budget Act pursued this strategy and successive Congresses steadily unwound its provisions. The very fact that this Congress is pursuing an expensive new entitlement belies the notion that members would be willing to cut existing ones.

Most astounding of all is what this Congress is willing to do to struggling middle-class families. The bill would impose nearly $400 billion in new taxes and fees. Nearly 90% of that burden will be shouldered by those making $200,000 or less.

It might not appear that way at first, because the dollars are collected via a 40% tax on sales by insurers of “Cadillac” policies, fees on health insurers, drug companies and device manufacturers, and an assortment of odds and ends.

But the economics are clear. These costs will be passed on to consumers by either directly raising insurance premiums, or by fueling higher health-care costs that inevitably lead to higher premiums. Consumers will pay the excise tax on high-cost plans. The Joint Committee on Taxation indicates that 87% of the burden would fall on Americans making less than $200,000, and more than half on those earning under $100,000.

It’s just incredible that anyone would believe the garbage coming out of Congress and Obama on this bill. That somehow, someway, the cost of doing business by the health industry will increase by leaps and bounds but those added costs will not be passed on to the consumer. Sure, the subsidies will help the lower income levels, but those subsidies will come from all the extra taxes the industry has to pay who will then tack on those extra costs to the consumer….if not then the government will help pay, and where will that money come from? Taxes? Higher deficit?

And still the gullible fall for “the free stuff”:

As the CBO notes, his bill would cut Medicare payments to doctors by 25 percent in 2011, then hold them at that level perpetually. In other words, given inflation, Baucus proposes endless cuts in what the program pays physicians and others.

Assuming 3 percent annual inflation, by 2014 doctors’ real incomes from Medicare payments would be cut by a third from 2010. By 2025, they’d be cut in half.

If Baucus’ cuts actually go through, physicians’ willingness to see Medicare patients would dwindle alongside their pay. But if the cuts don’t actually get made, Baucus’ plan would explode the federal deficit.

Without the savings from Medicare and related programs, the CBO projects that the bill would raise our deficits by $1.3 trillion over the next 20 years — and rising.

Common sense. ObamaCare will raise taxes immensely and on top of that will lower our standard of health care.

Yippee!…”free” health care!

Sigh…..

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This entry was posted on Wednesday, October 14th, 2009 at 2:34 pm and is filed under Barack Obama, Economy, Health Care, Obamanomics, POWER GRAB!, Socialism, Socialized Health Care, Universal Health Care, taxes. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

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7 comments so far

Skookum
 1Reply to this comment  

Another sad part of this deal, here we are in a major recession, if not the beginning of a depression and they are threatening us with fines of several thousand dollars if we don’t join up. I am here to tell you, many of us business men and many of us who have lost our jobs are not going to be able to afford this stuff. When it comes to eating, paying your mortgage and putting fuel in your vehicle to get to the odd job, silly Obama and his basketball games don’t seem to important. Many of us are trying to keep our homes and make it into next month, not worrying over his friggin thousands more for health insurance fines.

We have two wars going on!

We have a country that is failing financially!

Can’t he relax with the friggin Marxism, until we get the country going again or is this part of the plan.

When an American tries to get to his feet, you hit him with a ball bat and kick him until he quits trying. That’s Chicago Marxism, I know, I don’t need government help, but back up with that ball bat bud.

October 14th, 2009 at 4:31 pm
Spartan79
 2Reply to this comment  

I’m beginning to have some hope that this monstrosity will not pass, once the middle class (which includes a lot of union members) learns how much they will be paying to insure a few million more people. If it does however manage to squeak through, we may be looking at a repeat of the late 80’s section 89 debacle, a brain-child of Dan Rostenkowski and the dems which was an earlier attempt to finagle expanded coverage. Section 89 was so complex, and so infuriated Americans, that it was ingloriously repealed by a still-democrat dominated legislature by an overwhelming vote of 390 to 36.

The fact that Baucus’ plan front-loads the costs, while delaying conferring benefits until 2011 and beyond, may increase the prospect of this occurring, since it would be almost impossible to claw back government giveaways once they are under way.

October 14th, 2009 at 4:39 pm
B. Johnson
 3Reply to this comment  

If I understand correctly, the Obamacare tax tsunami is scheduled to start in 2013, corrections welcome. Rush Limbaugh has made the point that the reason for the tax tsunami being delayed until 1913 is likely the following. This gives Obama a chance to be re-elected in 2012, before taxpayers really get screwed.

October 14th, 2009 at 4:58 pm
Spartan79
 4Reply to this comment  

I haven’t read the bill (which doesn’t exist in any event), but Karl Rove in the WSJ (http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703298004574459151157036912.html?mod=googlenews_wsj) states that:

“The numbers may get worse for Democrats if they pass a health-care bill. Why? Because Senate Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus (D., Mont.) wants to frontload the reforms with distasteful things. Under his plan, tax hikes and Medicare and Medicaid cuts kick in immediately, while new benefits are delayed for two-and-a-half years. Voters likely won’t warm to reforms that slam them next year while promising benefits down the road.”

October 14th, 2009 at 6:30 pm
 5Reply to this comment  

Another clip from the WSJ op-ed:

Why does it make sense to double down on the kinds of entitlements already in crisis, instead of passing medical malpractice reform and allowing greater competition among insurers? Why should middle-class families pay more than $2,000 on average, by my estimate, in taxes in the process?

Wouldn’t it be wonderful if we could hold Dems accountable for the promises they have made with ObamaCare? 10 years from now when the program spending is out of control and in as bad a shape as Medicare and Social Security Anyone who voted for this monstrosity should be forced from office. But we all know that won’t happen. Dems never accept responsiblity for their lies.

October 14th, 2009 at 9:04 pm
Cuss
 6Reply to this comment  

Wow, Barry really doesn’t like middle class. Kind of scary the level of which he is ravenously attacking them. The funny part to me is how he ran a “class war” campaign against the rich, and hasn’t really stuck it to them in the slightest… just middle class.

October 14th, 2009 at 9:34 pm
Madalyn
 7Reply to this comment  

What Obama is doing boggles the mind. He wants to fine people for not having health insurance. If that person just lost his job, how can he afford health insurance or pay a fine. Plus, he is planning on giving amnesty to 20 million illegals. Now, who is going to get a job? Not the American with 15 years experience, but a NEW American with no experience, but trainable. Where is our economy headed? INTO THE TOILET!!! Obama has no clue what is happening. I really feel for all of you who are employed currently, but probably will not be once Obama grants divine intervention to all the illegals. Who does he think he is kidding? God help us all!
Madalyn

October 15th, 2009 at 7:37 am

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