Posted by Curt on 1 August, 2023 at 8:58 am. 3 comments already!


by Sundance

The New York Times has released their first New York Times/Siena College poll of the 2024 campaign season [POLL DATA HERE]. The results of the poll show President Donald Trump playing the role of Godzilla in stomping the field of Republican playdough candidates.

President Trump leads with 54%, followed by a ridiculously distant Ron DeSantis at 17%, Pence 3%, Haley 3%, Scott 3% and Ramalamadingdong 2%.  The only other candidate to break double digits is ‘I Don’t Know,’ the mysterious dark horse who continues biting pieces off the shrinking Florida governor.

So, who is this great MAGA coalition that fuels Godzilla? The NYT identifies them thusly: “Mr. Trump held decisive advantages across almost every demographic group and region and in every ideological wing of the party, the survey found, as Republican voters waved away concerns about his escalating legal jeopardy. He led by wide margins among men and women, younger and older voters, moderates and conservatives, those who went to college and those who didn’t, and in cities, suburbs and rural areas.”

Yup, apparently the MAGA coalition is everyone.  It’s the great working-class coalition, or what we have previously called “The Monster Vote.”

DeSantis supporters are a small group.  However, if you identify the small coalition of Ron DeSantis supporters from his highest-ranking demo in each category, what you discover is that Ron DeSantis’ most likely voters are: 30- to 44-year-old, rich white men with college degrees who live in the suburbs of the South.

DeSantis identifies with a very specific tribe of selfie-taking beta males, who wear pink clothing and eat crustless triangle cucumber sandwiches at the country club.  Or put another way, it’s literally Ron DeSantis himself and his supportive crew of assembled Sea Island billionaires.   Funny how that works.

I am going to note there is a data convergence between the Ukraine outcome with Volodymyr Zelenskyy, the appearance of Christina Pushaw working for Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, the odd similarity between the Ukraine election outcome and the U.S. election effort.

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