If Joe Biden taking the lead in Michigan and Wisconsin was the moment the dynamic of the Presidential race changed, this may be the moment the dynamic changes again.
A thorough and damning new analysis just published calls the legitimacy of this critical period into question and shows just how completely ridiculous and far-fetched the core of Joe Biden’s comeback really was in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia. It flags four individual vote dumps critical to Joe Biden’s “victory” in these states and shows, convincingly, that their ratios of Biden votes to Trump votes were profoundly anomalous when compared to other dumps in those states and virtually every other vote dump across the country.
The report is written in dry and academic language, filled with graphs, footnotes, and various hedges, but its implications could not be more obvious. Indeed, if the authors were less tepid, they might have fairly titled it:
Joe Biden’s Victory Was Not Legitimate. And Now We Can Prove it.
Because that’s exactly what the report does. It looks at election data and shows what many would expect: the states and cities that had the most suspicious circumstances on election night and into the next day are precisely where the analysis flags extreme anomalies.
Summary and Background of the Report
It starts out with the background on Michigan and Wisconsin — the famous “vote spikes” that were plainly ridiculous and fundamentally changed both the electoral reality and the narrative. The report reminds us of the infamous vote spikes in Michigan and Wisconsin.
The report is based on an analysis of the difference between successive updates in each state, each of which it calls “vote updates.” In online discourse, these are often referred to as “vote dumps” or “vote batches.”
It examines them across states and, controlling for how big a state is and how Democratic it is, does the following:
- Defines, mathematically, what a “vote spike” is
- Shows just how rare those are
- Shows how, during a five-hour period, four particularly extreme vote spikes arrived favoring Joe Biden
- Shows how crucial these were to Joe Biden’s election in MI, WI, and GA
- Most damningly, shows how Joe Biden likely would have lost these states — and the election — were these only more “spiky” than 99% of all vote dumps
The report describes a measurement for showing the relationship between the number of votes Biden wins by (or loses by) in any given vote dump, and how well he did as a ratio of Trump’s votes in that vote dump, while controlling for size and political lean of a state. It thus normalizes the data across states, allowing for apples to apples comparisons. The key mathematical reason why these vote spikes are anomalous is that for every large vote dump heavily favoring Biden in any given area, you also would expect to have smaller vote dumps in the same area which favor him by similar margins. Quoting from the report:
The believability of these updates relies on the premise that the one or two most Biden-favoring parts of the state (perhaps by ballot type) were counted entirely in these two batches. If it cannot be shown that the ballots counted during these spikes were qualitatively different from all other vote updates in Michigan, then the results are likely too extreme along multiple dimensions to be accepted at face value. [Vote Integrity]
It goes on to describe how the same logic applies for the other updates as well. Large ballot dumps which heavily favor a candidate make sense, if there are also smaller ones which favor the candidate more. The “standardization” process used by the researchers here takes care of that, and shows how points up and to the right of the graph are the more “co-extreme” vote dumps, in the language of the report:
That dotted black line at the top is the 99.5th percentile. In other words, only one out of every two-hundred points are above it. The four vote dumps in question are all at or above the 99.92th percentile. With these ratios, if they were at the 99th percentile only, they would each be dragged down to the middle of the three lines shown. Critically, they account for more than the margin of victory in all three states, and thus forty-two electoral votes, and with them, the Presidency.
Making Sense of This
The analysis is incredibly dense but contains several key points, which American Patriots must remember in the coming days and weeks. The most important points are:
Biden is all ready making his plans and selections i want to see Biden Humiliated and the Democrats as well as the M.S. Media
My senior year of high school, I had Civics. It was a split period, interrupted by lunch. One day during lunch, we learned there was to be a pop quiz. We got the answers to the test.
When we returned to class, the test was sprung on us. Being a “comedian”, I filled out my test and turned it in in about 30 seconds. This “anomaly” piqued the suspicions of the teacher. More suspicion was raised when almost the entire class (except for those who didn’t have a friend to slip them the answers or actually read the questions) missed the same question. The instructor read the grades out, with them all, but a few 100’s, being the same.
Fraud was obvious.
The fraud committed throughout this election by Democrats is beyond question. There is no doubt. The only question is whether or not there was enough to sway the election. THAT is why every bit of fraud needs to be rooted out and rectified.
Yeah, it’s kind of important.
Joe Biden wishes everyone a Happy Easter.
There was no fraud. Those were ballots. They were put in the voting machines and counted. Every ballot counts. Just because no Republicans were able to observe the machines at that time does not matter. We know the Democrats are honest. They just wanted to count all of the ballots. A ballot is the same as a vote, you know. No signature required. No proof required. No one would cheat on an election. My goodness me.
And the voting machines? Well, that is proprietary. It is none of your business. How the machines came up with fractional numbers of votes is a proprietary secret, and cannot be divulged. How can Dominion and Smartmatic make money if people steal their secrets?
And it is not fair for a precinct which is 90% republican to cast 90% of its votes for Trump. A lot of those votes need to be moved over where they belong, to Biden.
The basement dweller has such love he did not even need to campaign.
@mathman: Yeah, trees vote, too.
What 2 country leaders urged Biden to run?
No, the second sentence is illogical, because the ratio of one candidate’s vote totals to those of the other is not consistent from one geographical reporting location to another.
Smaller ballot dumps were far more likely to represent reporting locations with lesser population densities; that is, small towns and rural areas, which were more likely to favor Donald Trump.
Very large ballot dumps—such as those comprising the spike—were far more likely to represent reporting locations with much higher population density; that is, suburban and big city reporting locations, where the population was far more likely to heavily favor Joe Biden.
The expected result should be the exact opposite of what that second sentence states should happen—and, in fact, it was. The same thing accounts for the spikes in Georgia, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Biden’s winning edge was in the heavily populated areas, where the counts arrived in the numerically largest dumps.
@Greg: All the ballot stuffing dumps all came from philly late at night one location, you really must suck it up and watch the full hearing. Listen to the credentials of the witness. Election fraud is well known to happen in Philly, Trump sent in experts to be observers, and Im sure an election war room was monitoring the data in real time. Amy might be a big fat liar to you but these systems need to all be scrapped, and those that purchased them fully investigated. The paper ballots need to be examined closely, only in person should have the same ink run, not absentee.
Why you keep making up things that you might have heard on the boob tube is just goofy.
The DOD has been monitoring for over 2 years per testimony. Kraken is a name of a super computer interesting factoid.
What is illogical is that coincidentally at the same time counting was “paused”, Biden and Biden alone received a HUGE bloc of votes. Illogical in terms of a fair and honest election, that is.
This is not about large dumps per se. It is about large dumps that were ALL BIDEN. WE understand the difference; you should come to realize that as well.
That never happens and when it does it is small scale and it is ridiculous to believe, so don’t even look for it.
@Deplorable Me: You would think they would want to find the Democrat traitor that slipped in those couple of thousand Trump votes into the 600 thousand Biden ones. Fit them up with a nice pair of cement shoes.
@kitt: It was probably one of them making it look “legit”. It only takes a few to convince easily duped liberals that all is on the up and up.
@Deplorable Me: Sure it is the last thing they will say as the commies drop the into the river. You know you cant have 1 iota difference of opinion with these types.
All 900 military ballots in Fulton county GA were for Biden? In what alternate universe does this happen? In 2016, Trump won the military vote 60% to 34%.
“Clap for that, you stupid bastards. Come on, man. Man, you are a dull bunch. Must be slow here, man. I don’t know,” Biden said to US troops in 2016.
All that’s lacking is a shred of credible evidence that Rudy’s load of horse shit is anything more than horse shit.
So now you’ve got to believe that Trump-appointed judges and republican state election officials are somehow all part of the anti-Trump conspiracy. You’ve got to ignore the fact that Rudy says one thing at his press conferences and bogus hearings, and something else entirely the moment he’s in a courtroom before a judge.
At what point does the absurdity of all of this become noticeable to Rudy’s audience?
@Greg: You keep repeating the same communist party line it still makes no logical sense, because you only have the communist party facts presented by MSM to base your opinion on.
@Greg: Or you have to ignore the fact that Trump was leading in numerous swing states, the Democrat leaders in those states shut down counting but in reality accumulated HUGE jumps in Biden votes and Trump’s lead vanished. In other words, you have to ignore glaring, screaming, flag-waving clear signs of FRAUD.
That someone realizes Rudy Giuliani is pitching steaming horse manure in an effort to undermine America’s democratic election process and keep the most inept, dishonest, self-centered man who ever occupied the Oval Office in power does not make them a “communist”.
The one who has unsuccessfully tried to steal an election is Donald J Trump. Our constitutional system has kept that from happening. There’s no credible evidence of election fraud. Our courts have heard every suit brought by the Trump organization. They have arrived at the same conclusions.
@Greg: You will learn that fraud is not the path to success.
@Greg: Do list the cases heard by the courts brought by the dream team.
There were many brought by groups and individuals that are not part of the Trump campaign team, even Sidney is not part of the team but an individual.
The communist party networks group them all together and give you an illusion they are all Trumps legal team, you suck up that lie like a baby on a sugar tit. The strategy of the team is lost on you as it is for all commies.
Trump is in the lead Trump 232 electors, Biden 227 electors, with six state’s electors, totaling 79, either contested in court or subject to recount.
Its the Democrat communist media that has prematurely called the election and blowing smoke up your patootie and you are high on it.
The democrats rush to certify fraud
I hope they all go to prison and the Republicans in GA that need to be investigated for polluting the state with these fraud machines.
I do hope you followed Faux xis orders yesterday and enjoyed your 7/11 cold turkey sandwich masking up between bites alone and terrified.
Happy commie holidays brother.