Posted by Curt on 4 October, 2013 at 6:00 am. 5 comments already!



Confident that the mainstream media will help place the blame for the looming government shutdown on the Republicans, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid’s (D-NV) refusal to negotiate with GOP leaders to avert that possibility may well be seen, in retrospect, as the turning point that lost the Senate for the Democrats in the 2014 mid-term elections.

Reid continues to publicly insist that he won’t negotiate with House Speaker Boehner (R-OH) or Senate Minority Leader McConnell (R-KY) on any topic, and especially not on the budget or Obamacare. Democratic talking points have consisted of name calling and little else.

Meanwhile, House Republicans have already compromised and are regularly indicating on an almost hourly basis their willingness to meet in person to compromise further.  Such offers have not even been entertained by Senator Reid.

House Republicans moved off of their original position of defunding Obamacare, the bill rejected by the Senate on Saturday, to a compromise bill that merely delayed Obamacare implementation by a year. On a party line vote, Reid’s Democratic controlled Senate rejected that compromise House proposal on Monday. Now, an increasingly belligerent Reid has announced he will reject any further compromises offered by the House, thereby continuing the partial government shutdown that began when the clock struck midnight on October 1, 2013.

The public does not appear to be blaming only the Republicans for the current impasse, as was the case during the government shutdowns of the 1990s. Even some in the mainstream media are finding it difficult to continue pushing the “mean Republicans” narrative in light of Senator Reid’s intransigence.

A recent Pew Research Poll for instance, indicates that the public blames both parties equally for any shutdown.

According to the poll of 1,003 adults conducted between September 19 and September 22, 39 percent blame Republicans and 36 percent blame the Obama administration. Since the poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 3.7 percent, this amounts to a virtual tie.

Significantly, the poll’s sample of adults only (not screened for either registered or likely voters) is skewed heavily Democratic. 33 percent of the respondents were Democrats, while only 25 percent were Republicans. In polling terms, this sample is referred to as “Democrat plus eight percent.”

These results are in stark contrast to a similar poll conducted by Pew Research during the1996 government shutdown, when 46 percent blamed Republicans and 27 percent blamed the Clinton administration.

A national poll of adults taken more than a year in advance of the 2014 mid-term elections is not a very good predictor of Senate election results in specific states. However, there are some trends in the Pew Research Poll that suggest Harry Reid’s attempts to pin the blame on Republicans has a strong possibility of backfiring. It could, in fact, lose the Senate for the Democrats.

The numbers in the Senate at the outset are not promising for the Democrats.

Read more

0 0 votes
Article Rating
Would love your thoughts, please comment.x