Scientists: It’s The Sun
“The emerging causal effects from SS [solar activity] to GT [global temperatures], especially for recent decades, are overwhelmingly proved” – Huang et al., 2017
“Climate … follows SA [solar activity] fluctuations on multidecadal to centennial time scales” – Moreno et al., 2017
“The solar ‘activity’ increase is the chief driver of the global temperature increase since the LIA [Little Ice Age]” – Page, 2017
“A large proportion of climate variations can be explained by the mechanism of action of TSI [total solar irradiance] and cosmic rays (CRs) on the state of the lower atmosphere and other meteorological parameters” – Biktash, 2017
“The activity level of the Modern Maximum (1940–2000) is a relatively rare event, with the previous similarly high levels of solar activity observed 4 and 8 millennia ago” – Yndestad and Solheim, 2017
“The main driver of the large-scale character of the warm and cold episodes may be changes in the solar activity. Four warm periods – 1626–1637, 1800–1809, 1845– 1859, and 1986–2012 – have been identified to correspond to increased solar activity” – Tejedor et al., 2017
Solar Forcing As Significant Temperature/Climate Driver
Li et al., 2017 It has been widely suggested from both climate modeling and observation data that solar activity plays a key role in driving late Holocene climatic fluctuations by triggering global temperature variability and atmospheric dynamical circulation … The strengthened solar activity could be significantly amplified by the variations in ultraviolet radiation as well as clouds, resulting in the marked variability in global surface temperature. … … [O]verall solar-dominated long-term control.
Huang et al., 2017 (full) Various scientific studies have investigated the causal link between solar activity (SS) and the earth’s temperature (GT). [T]he corresponding CCM [Convergent Cross Mapping] results indicate increasing significance of causal effect from SS [solar activity] to GT [global temperature] since 1880 to recent years, which provide solid evidences that may contribute on explaining the escalating global tendency of warming up recent decades. … The connection between solar activity and global warming has been well established in the scientific literature. For example, see references [1–10]. … Among which, the SSA [Singular Spectrum Analysis] trend extraction is identified as the most reliable method for data preprocessing, while CCM [Convergent Cross Mapping] shows outstanding performance among all causality tests adopted. The emerging causal effects from SS [solar activity] to GT [global temperatures], especially for recent decades, are overwhelmingly proved, which reflects the better understanding of the tendency of global warming.
Blaauw, 2017 This paper demonstrates that global warming can be explained without recourse to the greenhouse theory. This explanation is based on a simple model of the Earth’s climate system consisting of three layers: the surface, a lower and an upper atmospheric layer. The distinction between the atmospheric layers rests on the assumption that the latent heat from the surface is set free in the lower atmospheric layer only. The varying solar irradiation constitutes the sole input driving the changes in the system’s energy transfers.
Wen et al., 2017 A warmer and wetter climate prevailed since ∼4800 a BP and was interrupted by a sharp cold reversal at approximately 3300 a BP that was likely caused by solar irradiance forcing, which resulted in a global cold climatic change and glacier advance.
Whats Al Bore to do now that his A INCOVENT SEQUEL has bombed in the box office?
Just to be sure, let’s wait to see what Gore and Obama, certified experts, have to say about these seemingly obvious correlations, which could also explain the same temperature variations on other planets.
Known and intentionally ignored by climate profiteers.
Something struck me during the recent eclipse. All the folks interviewed commented on a big drop in temperature during totality. I even noticed it here with 79% coverage. Yet if you suggest any “climate change” is caused by solar variation, they call you crazy. Go figure….
“Denial ain’t just a river in Egypt.”
Harvey is already the worst rainstorm in U.S. history, and it’s still raining
One hour ago: Floods in India, Bangladesh and Nepal kill 1,200 and leave millions homeless
Five days ago: 16 dead as strong typhoon floods Macau, southern China
@Greg: The storm was not the strongest, it stalled. Had the Democrat mayor not downplayed the danger and simply said if you can leave please do, not nearly as many would have needed to be saved. Not that there was a way to know in advance the rainfall. But better a climate denier than a predicted weather denier.
Weather happens it always has and always will.
A few years back the polar vortex stalled above the northern mid-west and it didn’t get above freezing for months.
Just the way it is there is much more involved in climate besides CO2. Many things that are much more powerful indicators than CO2, ignored by the data altering, grant grabbing fools you were told to believe.
From March 3, 2016: Hell and High Water
From July 15, 2015: Texas’ Climate Stubbornness Takes an Increasingly Big Toll
Nah. It’s the fault of “the Democrat mayor.” He should have listened to Abbott’s suggestion that a city of 2.3 million be evacuated in short order. No suggestions as to how this might be quickly accomplished, or where they should all go, of course…
@Greg: Never let a crisis go to waste, eh? Where are all the “more frequent and more severe storms”?
No, storms happen, just as they always have. What is the mayor’s fault is the stupidity of telling people NOT to evacuate.
@Bill… Deplorable Me, #8:
Have you paid any attention attention to world news? Do any names of serious storms affecting the United States before the current week come to mind? Any awareness of recent droughts and regional water shortages? How about the recent history of massive wildfires? Over 300,000 acres in Oregon are currently burning.
And in the next sentence, you proceed to bash the mayor of Houston… So tell me, how did Abbott expect 2.3 million people be evacuated on short notice, and where did he expect them to go?
@Greg: Yeah, I’ve paid a lot of attention. Where are the “more frequent, more severe” storms you alarmists predicted were to happen?
So, two days is not enough time to warn the lowest lying areas, so just tell everyone to sit and take it? And, where are they going NOW? Just another liberal sitting on his ass waiting for everything to magically turn out well, expecting to be able to blame everyone else for whatever bad that happens.
But Trump’s doing a great job, isn’t he?
@Greg: Why did he tell them to evacuate after the roads were flooded? After the floodgates of the dams opened to prevent failure?
Just stoopid, just as dumb as the hospital admins that didnt move food and supplies out of a basement. they then had to get 300 patients evacuated.
There is a huge difference between trying what seems to be impossible and doing nothing a all. I am glad the prayers of the Nation helped, only a few confirmed dead at this time.
The charts above sure seem to show solar activity a better climate predictor than CO2.
@Bill… Deplorable Me, #10:
What I saw was a photo op, with the Governor of Texas lavishing on layer upon layer of praise for all that Trump was doing. What I was thinking about was this:
Trump would slash disaster funding to the very agencies he’s praising for Harvey response
Has he spoken on the phone at any point with the Mayor of Houston? Did he meet or talk directly with a single victim of the disaster? Would you be asking those questions if it were a Democratic president rather than a Republican president?
October 8, 2018 — ‘Incredibly grim’ prognosis on global warming also carries clarion call for global action
Denying the existence of trains won’t keep you from getting flattened at the railroad crossing.
We have 12 years to limit climate change catastrophe, warns UN
Not that anyone here gives a damn.
@Greg: We’ve seen “incredibly grim” before. More alarmist, “give us control of your economy or the world will end” fake science.
@Deplorable me:Science is based on evidence that can be repeated by any other researcher. The frauds have raked in billions in grants over the years and havent provided 1 bit of solid evidence just more bad theory.
We say climate change is real we have always said climate change is real, I am surrounded by evidence of climate change. They have only since 1914 in temperature data, 25,000-21,000 years ago the evidence of climate change was layed down for every school child to take a field trip to see. The great lakes were scooped out, outwashes, morains and other deposits.
When Greg cant win an argument about how filthy the democrats have become he dives to an old thread.
What do you not yet understand about the consensus of scientific opinion? You’re choosing to believe a handful of outliers and a plethora of outright goofballs, many on the payroll of a variety of special interests whose cash flows depend upon a successful cover-up.
Do you really believe all of the highly respected scientific organizations listed on the linked NASA page are engaging in some vast, coordinated conspiracy to shake some grant money out of the trees?
@Greg: Consensus is not science you science denier! So no the earth isnt flat and posies in my pocket will not ward off the plague, the sun doesnt orbit the earth I do not understand any logical person, accepting consensus as proof.
That there is a consensus regarding climate change means the vast majority of experts are in agreement about what the science is telling them. That shared scientific conclusion didn’t result from the consensus.
“Historically, the claim of consensus has been the first refuge of scoundrels; it is a way to avoid debate by claiming that the matter is already settled. Whenever you hear the consensus of scientists agrees on something or other, reach for your wallet, because you’re being had. Let’s be clear: the work of science has nothing whatever to do with consensus. Consensus is the business of politics.” Michael Crichton 17 January 2003 speech at the California Institute of Technology
10,000 agree with global warming… 30,000 reject it
Climate Assessment, based on models, vastly exceeds real temperature observations… again
Orbiting Carbon Observatory disproves IPCC premature leap at AGW