White Supremacists Love Them Some Ron Paul

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We’ll lookie lookie.  It appears some white supremacists love them some Ron Paul.  This comes from Lone Star Times:

A LoneStarTimes.com investigation has conclusively established that a leading
figure in the American neo-Nazi / White-Supremacist movement has provided
financial support to Ron Paul’s 2008 Presidential campaign.

The individual in question is Don Black, the founder, owner and operator of
Stormfront, a “white
power” website that both professional journalists and watch-dog groups have identified as the premier
English-language racist/hate-site on the Internet.

~~~

– Black proudly and openly identifies himself as Stormfront’s guiding hand,
and publishes a contact address on the Internet— PO Box 6637, West Palm Beach, FL, 33405
 
– A search by LST of public databases indicates that there is only one “Don
Black” residing in West Palm Beach, Florida, zip code 33405

– A 7/16/01 USA Today article identifies Black’s wife as being named “Chloe”

– That same article identifies Chloe as being the ex-wife of close Black
associate and former “Grand Wizard” of the Ku Klux Klan, David Duke

Minutes of a 9/7/07 City of West Palm Beach code-compliance
hearing identify “Chloe H. Duke” as owning a residential property located at 203
Lakeland Drive

According to Federal Election Commission records, on 9/30/07
the Ron Paul presidential campaign received a $500 contribution from a Mr. Don
Black, who lists his address as 203 Lakeland Drive and identifies his occupation
as “self-employed/website manager”

Not only that but it appears his website, Stormfront, has widgets on the page that lead to donation pages for Ron Paul.

Shocker?  I think not.  You have the twoofers and militia nuts who love the man, not a stretch to have some big time racists mixed in.

What a candidate.

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John,
Good comments, and I appreciate them. Yeah, sadly I do think the “they stand up/we stand down” bit is one of the many things that can still go wrong, but TIME magazine-specifically even fervent anti-war critic Joe Klein is reporting that more and more are in fact standing up:
http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1675623,00.html

as to the lack of political progress, I take Gen Sanchez’ view that the US military can only do so much, and the rest of the US govt that’s been tasked in Iraq with reconstruction etc has grossly failed (interestingly enough, I don’t see a lot of anti-war protests against the US DoS which has dropped the ball more than anyone else). However, having said that, I think it’s important to say re political progress two things:

1) the Iraqi Parliament has passed more laws than the Democrats’ Congress and thus has made more political progress than the American govt, that’s noteworthy, and it shows huge hypocrisy on the part of Congressional Democrats to demand results when they themselves can’t manage to cut a $500000 virtual herbarium from a bill (see also pork spending worse than Republican Congress)

2) The political reconciliation in Iraq has in fact been taking place since January, but the reason that it doesn’t get press isn’t because it’s unimportant. It’s because the Democrats’ Congress put together a list of benchmarks that were near impossible for the Iraqis to accomplish, and they did this specifically so that if the Surge succeeded militarily (which it has beyond anyone’s dreams), then the Democrats could still oppose the war they support through sins of omission. Specific details of that political success can be found more here:
http://www.floppingaces.net/2007/10/18/i-dont-have-the-link/

Oh, btw Lisa. A Salon reader saying that they plan to stick around because this isn’t a half bad blog is quite a compliment….I mean that sincerely, and appreciate it. We have many many differences, and I have been known to throw some jabs, but getting a discussion going like this one is a great thing to witness and take part in.

btw John,
I wonder if you could be a bit more clear on what you meant by a “specific date”? Perhaps a historical example would help me. Are there any examples in history where a military force engaged in combat and succeeding in defeating the enemy (in this case Al Queda) said that they’d be done in X month and/or on Y day? Or is it a bit more responsible and practical to say, we hope to have X forces out around Y month and then order more forces out after that as long as success continue?

Thanks sincerely
-Scott
🙂

Ron Paul is bringing everyone together. That’s the way freedom is. Under Ron Paul’s vision we can all live in freedom, voluntary cooperation and peaceful co-existence. He is only candidate of either party who isn’t about some groups using the government to control, exploit, oppress or live off other of their fellow Americans. GO RON!!!
Thanks for posting article and bringing this out!!

Declare vicory and get out ???
I just hope those pesky defeatocrats don’t try and take credit for it.

Perhaps Dr Paul’s grand plan for rule is to hand out more cialis, lipitor, and prozac…

;p

Scott between June and September the percentage of Bagdad that is under the control of Iraqi security forces (with US oversight) rose 25 %……… from 6% to 8% .http://uk.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUKN2132269820070921

Yeah, the surge forces seem to move around a lot, first in Baghdad a little, then off to Anbar, then Diyala, then all around again, and now back into Baghdad possibly with a shift from focusing on the devastated AQ to the anti-govt militias. you might also have seen that in Sadr City, there’s a huge movement coming out against the Sadr militias.

There’s still a lotta fighting, and there could be more, but the withdrawal is underway. Besides that, the time to put a politically motivated withdrawal on the calender is gone. Forces can be out (mostly) by the 08 election, but for it to be politically motivated, there must be political capital to be gained, and if it happens around the election and/or before the inauguration as planned, then there’s no political gain. No political gain=no politically motivated withdrawal.

Sadr is the most popular Shia politican. Has been and probably will continue to be no doubt at least partially becuse of his firm stance against foreign occupation.
As for political capital since hte waqr is soooo unpopular and since it was/is backed by the Republicans it may be seen by soem to keep ita hot issue for the next 12 months. The clock is ticking on the election.

Lisa,

First, I am an officer in the Active US Army. I voted for Bush twice along with a vast majority of the rest of the military. I figured you should know that so you understand my point of view. And yes, please read other entries on the blog.

THERE ARE NO LOSSES OF CIVIL RIGHTS FOR US CITIZENS since 9-11-01. I would like you to cite ANY proof that there were.

Government HAS expanded and I do not like that fact. However, most of the expansion has been “compromises” with the left (education, prescription drugs being two examples). This I do not support Bush on. “Compromise” to the left means everyone else abandons their positions and the left gets what it wants.

Departments should have been re-aligned and many eliminated as redundant, but get that past congress and the career bureaucrat fiefdoms. It is the lower and mid level unelected agencies in government I dislike. Of course, I would desire to reduce government by 25% across the board (as a start), eliminate the income tax, opt out of Social Security (which I will never see), end congressional retirements totally, institute term limits for congress, and several other aspects.

So yes, there are some things Bush has done I do not like. There is NOTHING democrats have done that I like.

John, the war was backed by Democrats as well-they controlled the Senate in 02, and overwhelmingly supported the war in the House as well. Even today, most of the Democratic Party leadership supports the war at least until 2013, and the Democratic Congress supports the war too by continuing it. It’s a bi-partisan war despite the claims from Dems that they don’t support it-their deeds (which are infinitely more important than a politician’s words) prove otherwise.

as to Sadr, he’s actually lost a lot of support

John,

The war is “sooooo unpopular” but for some reason the Democrats can’t get a cut n run bill past Congress.

Give me a break.

Stop reading KOS, the NYT’s and other MSM outfits and expand your horizons a bit. You may just learn that your preconceived notion that the war is “soooooo unpopular” is not true. No one likes war, but many understand why this war is important. Everyone wants the troops home, but many understand that to cut and run like cowards would only make things worse rather then better.

Curt if you don’t believe the polls then believe the last election. The republicnas lost 30 house seats and 6 senate seats. If you don’t believe the last election then bet the farm on Intrades.com you can get GREAT odds !!

Oh yes, that last election which won your party a bare majority. Some mandate. All this time and no cut n run bill either….wonder why that is?

Just keep drinking the koolaid John, someday it may all work out for you.

Many people were for the war. Many people now realize thatit was a mistake. I myself believed the scares about biological and chemical weapons. BUT they were simply not true. I will say I never believed the hype about the Iraqi atomic program, there was never any proofs of the necessary infrastucture.

Well 30 seats in the house was a pretty harsd hit for the Republicans to take. And 6 senate ?? not to bad especially seeing as how the Republicans failed to win any seats held by Democrats. It was like a shut out.
Incumbents have a large advantage, in a year I expect to see even more seats go Democratic. 3 of the 4 top Republicans in the House have announced their intention not to seek re-election. There are 22 Republicans in the senate that are coming up for re-election probably 1/2 will have tough campaigns I think that there will be a good chance to win 5 or 6 of those races.
Curt you gotta stop pretending that things haven’t changed on the political landscape. It is the end of 2007 not 2001 wake up and smelll the coffee the Republicans have become a minority party.

Many people were for the war.

True

Many people now realize thatit was a mistake.

False.

If this were true your Democrat majority would be able to bring the troops home months ago. But alas, they couldn’t because there is no “many” people as you like to say.

BUT they were simply not true.

False again.

Much of that is covered in many blog posts on this blog but a good couple to read is this one and this one.

Or the series done by Scott Malensek here:

Part 1
Part 2
Part 3

Another great take on this was written by Tom Nichols at the Naval War College:

All this talk about "deception" regarding the question of WMD in Iraq has really turned into Monday-morning quarterbacking of the very worst kind. The issue-from the point of view of political decision making and any putative "deception"-is not whether there were WMD in Iraq before the war, or whether we'll ever find any, but rather whether any reasonable person could have believed that Saddam was hiding WMD and WMD programs in Iraq as late as 2003. The answer to that should be obvious.

First, let's start with the one thing on which everyone-and this means everyone, including the UN, the French, and even the most angry critics of George Bush-can agree: the Iraqis had weapons of mass destruction at some point. We know this because they used them in battle, and by their own admission, they copped to owning thousands of liters of all kinds of nasty stuff. We also know that Saddam had an active nuclear weapons program, delayed but not destroyed by an Israeli strike in 1981.

Second, let's proceed to the next thing almost everyone can agree upon, at least in 2003: no one knows where all those poisonous weapons went. Critics of the war could argue at the time that they were destroyed, but they couldn't have known that with any more certainty than those arguing they might be buried in the desert somewhere. (This was a bizarre regime, let us recall, that buried MiGs in the sand, successfully rendering them hidden, but also permanently useless.) It's important to remember that by 2003, the UN inspectors were really trying to prove a negative-that is, that Saddam didn't have WMD-and Saddam was of no mind to help them get to that conclusion. Imagine trying to execute a domestic search warrant as though it were a UN inspection. "Hi, we're here to make sure you don't have any illegal drugs in the house any more. We know you claim to have thrown them away, but we'd like to come in and look around." "Well, ok, but don't look in the kitchen." "But we have to look in the kitchen." "Hmm. Ok, just don't look in the refrigerator, we promise there's nothing in there, either." And on and on. Put another way, the single most important reason in 2003 to believe that Saddam had WMD is that he acted as though he did. (If I recall, there were reports that even some Iraqi generals were surprised to hear that there weren't actually any stocks of chemical arms.) Saddam could have ruined both Bush and Blair, and made them look like fools, by cooperating fully and conspicuously at the last minute, even before Resolution 1441 (which really sealed his fate).

But there's no reason to take George Bush's or Tony Blair's word on the WMD issue. That noted warmonger Bill Clinton gave a speech at the Pentagon in 1998 that could have as easily been given by Bush in 2002, and I think it's worth reading some of that at length, especially given the sanctimoniousness of critics who claimed that 2003 was a "rush" to war:President Clinton:

"It is obvious that there is an attempt here, based on the whole history of this operation since 1991, to protect whatever remains of [Saddam's] capacity to produce weapons of mass destruction, the missiles to deliver them, and the feed stocks necessary to produce them. The UNSCOM inspectors believe that Iraq still has stockpiles of chemical and biological munitions, a small force of Scud-type missiles, and the capacity to restart quickly its production program and build many, many more weapons."

Clinton then added:

"Now, let's imagine the future. What if [Saddam] fails to comply, and we fail to act, or we take some ambiguous third route which gives him yet more opportunities to develop this program of weapons of mass destruction and continue to press for the release of the sanctions and continue to ignore the solemn commitments that he made? Well, he will conclude that the international community has lost its will. He will then conclude that he can go right on and do more to rebuild an arsenal of devastating destruction. And some day, some way, I guarantee you, he'll use the arsenal. And I think every one of you who's really worked on this for any length of time believes that, too. [emphasis added] If we fail to respond today, Saddam and all those who would follow in his footsteps will be emboldened tomorrow by the knowledge that they can act with impunity, even in the face of a clear message from the United Nations Security Council and clear evidence of a weapons of mass destruction program."

It could be argued that Clinton was acting on what was known in 1998, but that by 2003 anyone who would take the same line was either a liar or a fool. Then Clinton must be both, because in early 2003, the issue came up in a discussion with Larry King, and Clinton-actually defending Bush-held firm on the idea that it would have been dangerous to assume that there were no longer in WMD in Iraq even at the end:

(President Clinton quote from Larry King):

"People can quarrel with whether we should have more troops in Afghanistan or internationalize Iraq or whatever, but it is incontestable that on the day I left office, there were unaccounted for stocks of biological and chemical weapons.And then we bombed with the British for four days in 1998. We might have gotten it all; we might have gotten half of it; we might have gotten none of it. But we didn't know. So I thought it was prudent for [President Bush] to go to the U.N. and for the U.N. to say you got to let these inspectors in, and this time if you don't cooperate the penalty could be regime change, not just continued sanctions."

For what it's worth, John Kerry (among others) called for Iraq to be "disarmed" right into 2003-if there were no WMD there, what exactly would we be "disarming?"-and there are plenty of statements from Democrats and others who could hardly be counted either as Bush supporters or part of some neo-con cabal that indicate a belief in active WMD programs in Iraq right through 2002.

That's because, regardless of party affiliation, there are a lot of reasonable people in politics, and a reasonable person would not assume, without hard proof, that someone acting like they had something to hide did not in fact have something to hide. Why Saddam chose a path that ensured his downfall-pride? stupidity? arrogance?-is a question for psychologists, not policy analysts.

The simple fact of the matter is that it would have imprudent-and just plain dumb-to take on faith Saddam Hussein's assurances about the destruction of his WMD stocks. He had them, he used them, he claimed to destroy them, but wouldn't allow anyone to verify that claim. To say now that it should have been obvious in 2003 that there were no WMD in Iraq, given the history of the regime and the behavior of its mad dictator, is not only unsupportable, it is irresponsible, and even borders on silly.

Also, a fact should be noted which many lefties seem to leave out. The OTHER reasons we went to war, for which there are many. The fact that he refused to abide by the cease fire (covered in detail in the first few links above). The fact that he attacked our planes. The fact that he supported terrorists AND evidence that he had WMDs and refused to give them up.

Taken all together, and after 9/11, it would have been criminal if Bush had not gotten rid of Saddam.

Curt you gotta stop pretending that things haven’t changed on the political landscape. It is the end of 2007 not 2001 wake up and smelll the coffee the Republicans have become a minority party.

Puhlease.

I seem to recall the same statements in late 2004, instead you lefties were holding “im sorry” signs and crying on each other shoulders.

You guys are too funny.

Chris, thanks for clarifying. I too hate it when I think I have someone who is going to kick ass and take names and then they go in there and start trading and wheeling and dealing with the opposition. However, the people who are real hardasses and are so deeply attractive to us end up getting tarred, feathered run out of town. Voters like hardcore until unpleasant government shutdowns and icky budget battles drag on too long. Newt Gingrich was willing to play hardcore, but the people who demanded he go to Washington and knock some folks around ended up losing their nerve when they faced possible inconvenience due to the budget battle. The same thing has happened for people on my side of the political spectrum: We send them there to fight, but if the fight might affect us and cause us any discomfort we abandon the person faster than Lindsay Lohan leaving rehab.

I can’t believe I am kind of defending Bush, who I loathe. But the guy HAD to make some concessions. It is unrealistic to think that either party can just do what it wants without considering the other 50% of its fellow citizens. And it was not just Democrats he was compromising with. There are lots of different kinds of Republicans, many who support a more progressive approach to prescription drugs, healthcare, and immigration.

And yes, our civil liberties have been encroached upon. No I am not a terrorist nor do I make calls to or take calls from terrorists. But the idea that someone is ALLOWED to listen to my phone calls and rifle through my records without any clear reason (except that I might be creepy or funny looking or dated some hairy Iranian back in my college days) is not good. I am not an enemy combatant, but if someone decided that I was dangerous, they could ship my ass off to some secret place in Asskickistan and I would have no legal recourse. I don’t like opening those kinds of doors. This president may or may not be the kind of guy who would seriously abuse those kinds of powers, but eventually someone will get into office who will. And we will all be screwed.

I always think it’s a bit funny when people start saying “you lefties”
Look the war never had the support of “the left’. what has changed is that now the war has no support from the center. And I don’t even see any real support from the right. I mean with 100 million people (1/3 of the US population) “supporting” the war you would think that there would be long lines at all of the recruiting stations. During this war we have historically high numbers of West Point grads opting out of the army at their first chance about 50% http://www.boston.com/news/nation/washington/articles/2007/04/11/west_point_grads_exit_service_at_high_rate/

I mean, really, if these guys can’t support the war by staying in, how can you expect treasonous,hippie,deafotocrats to do so ?

Cough…

The U.S. Army again achieved its recruiting goal (80,000 new recruits) for fiscal 2007 (that ended on September 30). That will also be the goal for 2008 as well, unless the army is given permission, and several billion dollars, to speed up their expansion of 13.5 percent (from 482,000 to 547,000), by doing that in four years instead of five.

The army recruiting effort is unprecedented for wartime. Never in American history has a war this long, been sustained with only volunteers.

But hey, the majority don’t support the war so the Democrats should be passing a cut and run bill any second right?

Heh…

The war is over. There’s still fighting going on, but the effort to force a politically-motivated end is long past. Why oppose it anymore? Why demand withdrawal when it’s started?

Nah, take the war and ABB off the table, and Democrats lose the slim 80-90,000 votes that got them Congress. Put Hillary on the ticket (with the highest unfavorable ratings of any candidate in American history), and Republicans could run anyone. Why is all this happening? Not because Republicans are good, but because the Democratic Party’s leaders are so bad.

They lied about Iraq
They lied about supporting it
They lied about fixing earmarks, lobbying gone mad, partisan shut-out votes, balancing budgets, and have accomplished NOTHING.

All a Republican Congressional candidate has to do in 08 is list out the promises/failures of the Dem holding the seat, and bingo-the fresh face goes in. In 2002, 2004, 2006 and now 2008 Democrats are depending on Anybody But Bush mentality and the war over the war, but Bush isn’t running, and neither are his cronies, and the war is off the table since troops are coming home, there’s success on the ground, and even Dems are willing to continue it till 2013.

No ABB
No War
No crux/draw issue for Dems.

Hillary on the ticket
rampant, habitual, moot opposition to war in Iraq
gross list of failures in Congress
promises to raise taxes
=lots of reasons for Republican base to go nuts in 08.

If the war was popular, even with the 100 million who SAY they support it The Army would be flooded with recruits. They would not have to waive about 20% of the recruits that fall below standard. They would be able to cherry pick from more than they need if the war was popular.

I agree with both of you: Things HAVE changed since 2001. But, support for the war has never been more than iffy. We were not asked (nor did we volunteer) to interrupt our lives in anyway. We did not sacrifice ourselves, sons, or daughters. We did not open our pocket books for a war surtax nor were we willing to let go of our farm subsidies, medicaid, or other entitlements to pay for this war. It was a war we tuned in to for a half hour a day while waiting for American Idol to come on. I don’t know that we have turned against it so much as become bored with it.

I never supported it. However, most people did. But they supported it with the unspoken condition that it not take too or become overly bothersome. Unfortunately, it has done both. So people have turned the channel. I was angry at the president and the GOP for getting us into this mess, but really he can’t take all the flak. We are his boss and we LET him. We even encouraged him to go find someone to pay for 9/11 and he did. We don’t like the long, difficult, protracted results of overthrowing some dictator in violent, crazy country, now we want to point fingers. But we should all take a long look in the mirror.

Well Scott that is of course an opinion. But it is not held by most. On Intrades, the largest political futures marketplace, the odds look might slim for the Republicans to take back either Congress OR the White House. If more people held views like yours (AND were willing to put their money up) maybe the odds would be dropping down a bit
https://www.intrade.com/aav2/trading/tradingHTML.jsp?evID=23190&eventSelect=23190&updateList=true&showExpired=false

These price quotes are really not that much different than the current Vegas odds

We could really use some more people putting money down on the Republicans; to win a hundred dollar pay off on control of the senate remaining in Democratic control you have to put up 90 dollars !! IT IS JUST NOT FAIR

It is an opinion John. So true, but I wonder how the odds will shift when people realize that there’s no point in campaigning against GWB since he’s not running, and both sides can argue for change? Similarly, as demonstrated on this very thread, most people don’t realize that the withdrawals have begun, there’s more political reconciliation in Iraq than in DC, and there’s no difference between most Republican and most Democratic Party Presidential candidates re the war.

Seriously, take Ron Paul, Kucinich, and maybe Dodd out, and ask what the difference is? Maybe one or two second tier candidates (Richardson) will say they’re gonna advocate a complete immediate withdrawal, but they’re not gonna get the nom, not when they’re 80% behind Hillary in the polls.

What trophies of accomplishment can Democrats run on in 08? Nothing. ZERO In fact, they’re screwing up more than they fix (see also Rangel’s tax increase, and infinitely more examples). They caved on the war, impeachment, SCHIP, FISA, judges, funding, earmarks, and more.

Republicans are the minority, and have the advantage of not having to run on a record of failure. They can boast to their base that they held the line-an opposition/minority requirement, and well proven by the Democrats failures.

Without the war, without GWB, what will energize the base? Will millions of KOSsacks take to the streets in protest of socialized medicine or perhaps in support for Sen Specter’s $500000 earmark for a virtual herbarium or the other 165 earmarks he had in that same bill alone? Nah, Dems are blowing it, and the party base is in a state of shock, awe, and apathy. They don’t like Republicans because of the years of propaganda, but they realize the Dems have pwnd em now.

Lisa,

You are mistaken about the international monitoring system (what the left calls “domestic spying”). Please see the FBI’s own terrorism research section FAQs and understand how the system works (or was working) and what safeguards are in place. Americans are NOT hauled off outside the USA UNLESS they are caught outside the USA fighting us. Even then they are brought back to the US courts system.

Here is how the system used to work.
A US Soldier kills/captures a terrorist who has a cell phone and a computer. He gives them to his S2 (intel officer) who ships it to Division HQ for decryption/translation/analysis. IF for some reason your phone number, email address, or home address appears on the phone or computer, then permission was sought to find out why. If nothing was discovered (most computer IPs are actually ‘zombie terminals’ hacked into) then the info was dumped.

Now we can shoot a terrorist, but not look at his phone.

In 2008 the most important issue will be the war in Iraq. Probably the second most important will be health care.
The withdrawals have begun ?? show me that link please and also does this withdrawal mean less than before the current “surge” ? or just a reduction iof the surge ?
The last figure I have seen puts the number of military in Iraq at 168,000 so when we pull out 38,000 we will be down to the “pre surge ” amount.

And the “base” of the Democratic Party is not and never has been Kos or net roots. Maybe they are 2 million (?) but hardly the base. Certainly vocal but numerically dwarfed by MANY other blocks within the Democratic Party. And of course it will not be the Democrats nor the Republicans that will determine the outcome of 2008. It will be the Independents, and I have seen nothing that indicates that they are going to back the Republicans. Well not “nothing” wishfull thinking : I have seen that.
As for the “base” the Republicans have in the past tied that to the Evangelical Christians and they might have some problems backing ANY o the Republican nominees except for pehaps Huckabee. Hillary’s unfavorables ?? better take a look and see how much higher than the unfavorables are for the Republican nominees. Show me a poll that says any Republican can beat her. Show me.

well that is the perception held by many people and certainly the Republican Party is not the favorite of Black Americans.

John: It must really gall you that even Democrats now concede we are winning in Iraq.

What a shame your side can’t do more to enable and encourage the terrorists. Even bin Laden came out this week and had to apologize for making mistakes.

Oh, Curt: One of the moonbats that Wordsmith keeps feeding at my blog is a white supremacist. We call him KKK Ken. He’s also a big fan of David Duke and the American Nazi Party. Guess who he supports in 2008?

You guess it! RON PAUL!

Mike,

We may disagree vehemently about how to make this country a safer and better place. But I think it is dangerous talk to accuse those who disagree with you of being terrorists or in sympathy with terrorists. That is eliminationist talk. Look back at any genocide, or major “purge” in history and the first thing people did to justify what they were about to do is accuse those they were about to purge of being in sympathy with the enemy. Now don’t get me wrong, I find it stimulating to insert a little heated rhetoric into an argument. However, I think going as far as casually accusing people you don’t agree with of being terrorists or “the enemy” taking us down a road that we will all eventually regret (some of us more than others).

John, I appreciate your post; a well-presented question.
“In 2008 the most important issue will be the war in Iraq. Probably the second most important will be health care.
The withdrawals have begun ?? show me that link please and also does this withdrawal mean less than before the current “surge” ? or just a reduction iof the surge ?
The last figure I have seen puts the number of military in Iraq at 168,000 so when we pull out 38,000 we will be down to the “pre surge ” amount.”

The orders went out back in September. The first withdrawal of a brigade (as I said) will have troops home for Christmas. After that, the withdrawal will continue with more brigades until the surge of forces is withdrawn around June, and then General Petraeus says that if the success continues (per the quote earlier) more withdrawals to below surge levels will continue. Desert Sheild took 6-9 months. During the 4 threatened invasions of Iraq under President Clinton, each buildup for invasion too 6-9 months. It will take a while to get all the forces out and do so “responsibly” as Gov Dean said, “…if you pull your troops out immediately, you do get chaos.” So really, it’s a question of whether or not the success continues, but since AQin Iraq’s been decimated, since UBL openly declared that he’s shifting the central front to Sudan, and since ISF forces are in fact getting very good lately, since there’s been far more political reconcilliation in Baghdad than in DC, things look good. The orders are out. Some will be home for Chrismas, others for Fouth of July, and the majority of the rest should be home around election time making it hard to demand a withdrawal when a withdawal’s been taking place for the 14months before the election).

http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/iraq_orbat_es.htm
http://wwwwakeupamericans-spree.blogspot.com/2007/09/statement-by-general-petraeus-text.html

Mike there are many Democrats that are currently serving honotably in Iraq. When you call Democrats traitors you are also calling membes of our Armed Forces traitors.As for “winning” in Iraq that remains to be seen. But of course the first thing is a definition of “winning” There iare fewer casualties. But exactly who is our enemy in Iraq ? Al Qaeda ?? They were not there until after we came, and even today are less than 5% of the people killing Americans. The ebemy originally were the Sunnis who had been the oppressors of the majotity Shia whom we sought to liberate. Now the Shia are the bad guys and we are arming the Sunnis.
However if it takes saying “victory” before we can leace than I am all for it and will cheer “victory” as loud as anyone.

UPDATE
John,
I forgot to say, I just don’t see Iraq being the driving issue in Nov 08 after 14 months of withdrawals and (hopefully) 22 months of successes there. What will Democrats on the ballot rave about? Demand a withdrawal that’s been taking place for over a year (brings up all kinds of fun “17-month rush to war” analogies)? Maybe they’ll complain that there’s no success in Iraq despite even msm reporters like Couric, Williams, and more who have gone there repeatedly this year, seen the progress (even at the start of the surge) and marveled at it? Nah, I don’t think that dog’s gonna hunt. Maybe the Democrats can run on the idea that the war never should’ve been fought if they run anyone other than Hillary, but for her to stand at a debate podium and rant about how it never should’ve been fought after she:
promoted it
got better intel than the President
authorized it
supported it
opposed it
supported it by demanding more troops
then opposed it
well….let’s just say, I might start making my flip flop video now

Nah, that six pack of positions lacks a plastic thingy to hold it together. Maybe they can rant about Iraq and say…what?

Healthcare? Nah, healthcare’s a dead duck. Reform’s needed, but not socialized medicine. Besides, if you go for socialized medicine you lose NY, Florida, and Ohio where private healthcare orgs are massive-especially in Ohio. You MUST have 2/4 of the big states to win:
California (alwasys Dem)
Texas (almost always Rep)
Florida (leaning heavily Rep)
NY (in play if its Rudy)

Carry 3, you win.

Also, I think if Democrats try to make Iraq an issue in 08 re Congress, then they’ve got real trouble. The anti-war far left is already seething mad and furious at the Democrats Congress.
http://www.davidswanson.org/?q=node/971

All a Republican running for Congress has to do is say, “I want to do X, he wants to do Y, but he got into office promising the sun, the moon, and the stars, and we didn’t even get dirt.” How can a Democrat run for re-election on Iraq and say (again), “Vote for me, and I’ll provide a New Direction in Iraq even though I promised to do so last time and didn’t because (fill in the excuse)”?

Good luck with that one.

Scott please post a link saying that the eithdrawal began 14 months before the 2008 election. The last figure I saw listed 168,000 in Iraq. At what time do you see the troop level being les than the pre surge figure of 130,000 ?
Progress ?? you mean that the surge has resulted in political reconciliation in Iraq ? Please provide a link to that as well as any links to any more of the 18 benchmarks that were identified by Bush.
Healthcare ? Most Americans want a change. They know that during the time the Republicans held both the Congress and the White House they never got it. As far as “socialized” medicine, well if it is good enough for our vets, good enough for all government employees, good enough for the elderly, well I say it is good enough for me the American Taxpayer.
Vegas certaintly doesn’t agree with your analysis aboutr the chances of the Democrats winning: people willing to put up money pn political futures, no they don’t agree either.
Most Americans agreed with the decision to invade Iraq. MOst Americans now think that was the wrong decision to make. Although the war may have been backed by Democrats the American people know who the prime mover was and which political party he belongs to.

“Scott please post a link saying that the eithdrawal began 14 months before the 2008 election. ”

I did. General Petraeus’ own words say that he was starting a withdrawal back in Sept. I included a link to that, and I included a link to the globalsecurity.org site that described how the withdrawal orders were issued by Pres Bush in Sept (14months before the 08 election if my math is correct). As to the “pre-surge” injection, that’s misleading. It’s pushing the goalpost for recognizing success back to next June when pre-surge level forces will begin to be withdrawn. I contend that a withdrawal is a withdrawal, and that Gov Dean is correct in that you can’t just pop a champagne cork, tell everyone to drive to the border, and call that a responsible withdrawal. It’s not. Sure, that would give the left success since their objective isn’t success in Iraq or withdrawing troops or withdrawing pre-surge level troops, but rather abandoning Iraq and then being able to blame President Bush and Republicans for the consequences.

“You mean that the surge has resulted in political reconciliation in Iraq ? Please provide a link to that as well as any links to any more of the 18 benchmarks that were identified by Bush.”

I said earlier that the benchmarks set by Congress and given a “yeah, whatever” from President Bush are not examples of reconciliation. For that, I gave a link to a post at FA which showed there is reconciliation happening in Baghdad, Anbar, Diyala, Basra, and all around Iraq. I even gave a link to a TIME Magazine rpt confirming the others. The 18 benchmarks (imo) are better described as things to be complete before a complete withdrawal happens. Kinda starting to sound like you want to play gotcha politics with the intent of arguing that we should withdraw now even though the orders were cut in September, the rotation adjusted, and the withdrawal is starting. To that end, I suggest ranting against Democrats since they’re the ones who promised a NEW DIRECTION IN IRAQ and lied about it, and since they’re the ones willing to continue the war until 2013 (though today is a day that ends in the letter “Y” so it might be a different position by now).

The first step in a withdrawal, is the orders. Then there’s a time of adjustment, shifting of responsibilities and forces, then packing, then leaving. It took 17 months to RUSH into Iraq, it might take 17 month to rush out.

“Healthcare ? Most Americans want a change. They know that during the time the Republicans held both the Congress and the White House they never got it. As far as “socialized” medicine, well if it is good enough for our vets, good enough for all government employees, good enough for the elderly, well I say it is good enough for me the American Taxpayer.”

I agree, people want a change, but not socialize medicine. As to the vets, I seem to remember something about Walter Reed and poor conditions? Besides, if you look closely, in most cases a lot of govt employees (Congress) get to use whatever healthcare provider they want, and are not limited to govt paid docs at govt run hospitals.

As to Vegas….we shall see. I don’t think Republicans have started playing yet, and Democrats are playing hard since even though they won Congress in 06 they didn’t get ANYTHING for it, and they’ve gotta try again. But when I talk to my friends who are Dems, and I ask them how they’re gonna vote for Hillary…they say they won’t. If Hillary pushes a socialized medicine program here in Ohio where healthcare is the biggest employer…she will not carry Ohio. Vegas can be wrong ya know. Didn’t they have Kerry in 04 throughout 03? And, if I recall, they had Republicans holding the Senate in 06. Nah, poll picking is a fun game, but reality is different.

The reality is that a Democrat running for Congress in 08 cannot run on Iraq.

“I DEMAND a withdrawal (even though it was ordered 14 months ago, and 30-80,000 have already come home).”
-not very inspiring

“Vote for X for Congress, and I’ll back the Democratic Party’s NEW New Direction in Iraq.”
-mmmm, uh, no. That’s not gonna get a lotta inspiration

“Re-elect X for Congress because he’s done nothing in 2 years.”
-ouch.

No wonder Democrats are spending more on earmarks than the Republican Congress did. They’ve gotta start buying some votes asap.

It bears remembering….Congress went Dem because of less than 100,000 votes, and 2/3 of the military absentee ballots were never counted. Democrats would’ve been protesting in the streets, screaming about fixed voting machines, chads, etc. Republicans took it, recognized that the R Congress had drifted from its anti-earmark policies that got it elected, and are making the change as 08 gets closer.

You can’t possibly think that the RNCC won’t be providing ads for each Republican candidate that merely list out each of the earmarks for Democrats running for re-election?

RNCC could take Congress by running 3 ads for each candidate:
“Democrat so-and-so promised XYZ, and failed. In fact, he/she accomplished nothing.”
“Democrat so-and-so promised to fight earmarks and political kickbacks to special interest groups, but he made sure that $500000 of the childrens medical coverage bill went to a virtual herbarium in Montana along with these other 165 special interest pet projects….”
“Democrat so-and-so promised a new direction in Iraq in 2006, and he/she’s doing it again, but the orders for a withdrawal were given 14 months ago, and since then 30-80,000 American troops have victoriously come home from Iraq. But so-and-so didn’t support that victory, he made non-binding resolutions opposing it, and on X number of occasions tried to cut off food, fuel, bullets, body armor, and supplies for those soldiers.”

Believe me, the NRCC hasn’t even started yet. Same with the national effort to elect a Republican President. They’re not gonna hit high gear until Hillary gets the nomination, then 08’s gonna be a political circus with her defending infinite accusations (entire libraries of accusations have been published in prep for this) as well as nuiancing her positions, distracting from her previous positions, and pandering to anything anyone wants. Wanna $1000 for each kid? She’s for that. $5000 bond for each kid? Sure, she’s for that. 40 acres and a mule? Yeah, that sounds good.

Well thaat sure settles the question about “withdrawal” You see I thought that meant when the troops leave, not just when someone started thinking about withdrawal. I didn’t understand that even if the troop numbers are the same Because you see most Americans don’t understand the nuances we think that when the withdrawal begins that means that there will be less troops, not (maybe depending on conditions) less at a later time.
Yeah sometimes Vegas is wrong, but of course the odds were you pick’em in 2004 not 3-1 like now
Since the war started the mean and average number of US casualties has been about 66 per month. 2007 will have a higher US toll than other year. So far it looks like this month October will be the only month with less than the average.
Your scenario of “all the Republicans have to do….” sure seems easyn and do able !! Sort of what we thought Iraq was going to be like. Republicans this year amongst other problems don’t have the money that they did in 2006.And I don’t just mean in thje presidential race. Republicans in Congress ( well those that choose to run again, many are opting out) face a real short fall in campaign funding.

The funding thing will come. Like I said, Republicans aren’t really interest yet. Democrats on the other hand are, and I suspect that’s because they bought a bad bag of goods in 06 and are feverishly hoping to buy a better one. How can one deny that the Democratic Party Base isn’t grossly dissatisfied with their elected Congress? Approval’s barely 20%. List of passed laws and accomplishments fits on one hand with fingers to spare. The New Direction in Iraq that Pelosi said on election night was the reason they won? That was a lie, Dean admitted it election night-they never even formed a committee to brainstorm a plan (once elected, they did go to Syria for advice though).

btw, I think when you look at the 168,000 number…it might be a few months old. Still the real effect in numbers will start in a few weeks. Prior to that, you’re right, most of the withdrawal is prep etc. Moving an army isn’t like going on a roadtrip where you pack the car and drive. It’s a little more complex, time-consuming, etc.

Now, John, you’ve argued nicely that the withdrawal isn’t happening, won’t happen, whatever…now what if I’m right and everything that’s scheduled to happen does? If so, then most of the troops will be out of Iraq in Nov08, and the withdrawal will be substantive and clear enough for even Joe Schmoes to see that it’s been happening. If that’s the case, and if reconciliation continues, then Iraq is off the table, and couple that with the Democratic Party’s UNDISGUISABLE failure to stop the war…how do Democrats profit from an American success there? It’s not like they’ve helped bring about success by arguing FOR the enemy’s objectives.

Now add in the huge realization that GWB is not running, and the Republicans who are are not his lackeys. Once a Republican has the nomination (as is the case whenever there’s an incumbent) he will take the spotlight from the President. Clinton did it with Gore, Reagan with Bush, and always throughout history.

I still say that without Iraq (and just the Dems’ failures on Iraq really takes them off the table as the ‘we can do something’ party’), and without GWB to run against ala ABB…Democrats will have a tough time finding a crux, or driving issue. I know all my Democrat friends aren’t happy at ALL about Hillary being ordained. They might vote for her as “the lesser of two evils” as I was told by one of them, but…is she really? All those infinite number of accusations could really drag on her. Most of all…she IS still awaiting sentencing from the 3 judge panel at the FEC for her role in the Peter Paul campaign finance scandal (the biggest campaign financing fraud in the history of the US, and don’t think that’s not coming up at a debate). I wonder what Democrats will do if she gets the nomination and then the judges say she’s got to do 100hrs of community service for campaign finance fraud-Clinton appointee judges?

Gonna be interesting.

Why are you wasting time trying to explain this to John Ryan. He’s obviously willfully ignoring everything said. And he’s also brought out the chickenhawk argument. Is he really worth trying to explain anything to?

Buzz I never use that word.
If you are refering to the historically low retention rates of West Point grads, well that is not how I see their actions

Hi Buzz!
Ya know, I have a great deal of respect, love, admiration, and more for many of the people who oppose the war in Iraq and GWB. Many-scratch that-MOST of my family and friends are in that category. This list includes Green Berets from Vietnam, history professors, lots of IT professionals, and very caring and loving people across the board. I’ve found that most of their opposition is really anti-Bush first with the war just a catalyst for expressing it. Then that catalyst is fed by Democratic Party leaders with lies. Not even misleading propaganda, but straightup, open, lies. A Senator will go to an intel briefing with David Kay. Kay comes out, says to the press, we didn’t find stockpiles of WMD, but we found a WMD threat in various other forms. Then the Dem senator comes out, says Bush lied-no WMD. I have the luxury of time to research for the truth. When W’s wrong, I flat out say it. I did so as early as mid 03 in my book, Iraq’s Smoking Gun (pen name Sam Pender). As is the case with my family and friends, as long as someone wants to talk about the complexities of the political war over the war, and if they can do so nicely and/or with the intent of finding the truth or even better common ground, then I’m there. I’ll discuss. As soon as it gets heated, as soon as I get name-called, etc. I step aside for the Flopping Aces crew. A few of these guys have the ability to draw fast and split a card with a sideshot before the other guy’s even reached for his piece. My feeling is that the war was a bi-partisan issue, should be a bi-partisan issue, and that it is a UNITED States issue. It’s not Bush’s War. When I hear that, I immediately recognize that the person is shirking their responsibility for the UNITED States’ actions, and thus not interested in the welfare of the UNITED States’ as much as the welfare of their political orientation or too often their political career.

Someday this war’s gonna end. I think it’s started to, and is already scheduled to (How Rovian would it be to have US forces come home on election day to vote in uniform with Iraqi dust on their feet?). When the war is over, that’s when I’m gonna feel really sorry for Cindy Sheehan for she and the rest of the people who worked so hard to oppose the reconstruction and restoration of security in Iraq (see also UN1483sec1-4)…those people will look to complain to Bush, and have nothing. They’ll demand a withdrawal of troops who are already home or coming home, and I worry about what those individuals will do when there’s no longer anyone and anything to hate as vehemently as they have.

You don’t have to use “chickenhawk” to make the argument. A rose is still a rose even if you don’t call it that. And this: “I mean with 100 million people (1/3 of the US population) “supporting” the war you would think that there would be long lines at all of the recruiting stations.” Is a chickenhawk argument. It is no different than saying “if you support the war then why aren’t you signing up?” You’re exactly as I have pegged you. You’ve also had the withdraw explained to you multiple times, and yet you’ve repeatedly stated “there is no withdraw/when is the withdraw going to happen” where if you could actually you know, read, you’d see it explained to you multiple times.

Lisa: The aforementioned KKK Ken in my comments pages cheerleads every setback of our efforts in Iraq, ignores every U.S. triump and actively propagates enemy propaganda for every enemy and adversary of the United States.

Nowhere do I suggest that every supporter of Ron Paul is that deranged, but I have seen hundreds of examples of where Ron Paul and his supporters have swallowed enemy propaganda whole and adopted it as their own ideology.

This idiotic notion of our withdrawing entirely from the Middle East is the best example.

I don’t know if you are a supporter of Dr. Paul but if you are, you certainly have my sympathy being in such company with kooks and fools.

But please don’t suggest that my disgust at the their behvior is somehow a justification for a “purge.” Believe me, if all the nonsense Ron Paul and others have put out about the neocons trampelling on the Constituion you all would be at Guantanamo Bay already.

But you’re not are you?

Ya know Buzz, I dunno if that’s so much a chickenhawk statement (though I can see how someone would see that), but I think it opens the door to recruitment myths etc. So often we hear that recruitment is down or that the military is scraping the bottom of the barrel to find the greatest of Americans (irony?). I don’t buy the idea that there’s a shortage of manpower. If it were the case, then I follow Gen Petraeus’ statement that incentives, more commensurate pay, etc would solve that problem. HOWEVER, IF THERE ARE RECRUITMENT PROBLEMS, I submit that it stems from 3 things:

1) the left’s lie that the war in Iraq is a lie (“no wmd” “no ties to AQ” “war of choice”). It’s simple thought reform practice: breakdown, then rebuild. They breakdown the casus belli and then rebuild a new one aimed at a Republican govt rather than a terrorist regime

2) the military is grossly underpaid in my opinion, and those people deserve better pay, better benefits, and INFINITELY more respect for who they are and what they do; one cannot “support the troops” if they do not honor, respect, and support what they do

3) Oh yeah…it’s a war! It’s not easy to find people who have seen 6 years of war (since they were 12yrs old) and stand up and say, “DAMN! I sooooooo want to go climb mts in Afghanistan while being mortared by Taliban!” Or “Wow, Ramadi looks like a real party town! I have GOT to go there” Or most importantly, “Ya know, I want to be a soldier because people will admire that. Well, 200 million people won’t admire what I do, but they’ll admire me.”

Obviously “withdrawal” means different things to different people. Fotr me it means a reduction in troop level.
It does not mean making preliminary steps. It means an actual reduction in troop levels.
America simply no longer supports the war. Rightly or wrongly the Republican Party will have to shoulder this. And this is the feeling of most Americans this is the reason that the retention rates of West Point grads are historically low. It is not because they are cowards or traitors. It is because they no longer believe in the war. The reason that the recruiting stations are not flooded with potential recruits is not because they are chickenhwaks it is because most Americans do noy believe the war in Iraq is worthy.

Buzz I have no idea whether you are currently in the military or once were. That makes no difference as to why the 100 million who support the war have not flooded the recruitment stations. Well of course some individuals may have physical problems that would preclude it. Others may have moral issues for which waivers could not be granted. Some may not be of high enough standards for the armed forces. Certainly I would not call them traitors for not fully supportuing the war, nor would i call them chickenhawks

Mike:

No I am not a Ron Paul supporter by any stretch of the imagination. I am one of those big-city liberals. I wandered onto this blog by way of Salon after reading this very intriguing post written by Curt. The fact that Paul attracts separatists, skinheads, and other racist boneheads is also well known by those of us on the other side of the political spectrum. David Neiwert at Orincus has been writing about the same thing recently. I have known for a while that Ron Paul has not exactly been welcomed into the mainstream of the GOP but I have been curious about what the average Republican thinks of him, if at all. I find the whole conversation going on between conservatives about Ron Paul and libertarians quite fascinating. I have said how much I believe this conversation mirrors the conflict liberals have had about Howard Dean (whether he was TOO liberal/crazy/etc.) and Ralph Nader and the Green Party (whether he and his supporters were just attention whoring pains in the ass or perhaps truly represented the pure and true liberal).

I find libertarianism to be generally selfish, petty, and immature. Most of their platform is downright laughable. Our country is great because of our sense of community. Most libertarians have the fevered Ayn Rand inspired fantasy that they are so special and important that they must be separated from the unwashed masses who would drain them of their intellectual and physical gifts. Remember, they not only want lower taxes, but they also seem to believe that they are much cleverer than the average citizen of this planet and should not really even have to share in what you or I consider a free market capital system (it is far too democratic and it gives otherwise untalented and stupid people the means to rub elbows with special people like themselves). If you have ever read anything by Rand, you know what I am talking about. At the core of every libertarian lies a foul, petulant elitist with delusions of grandeur.

Oh, and I was not implying that you are some fascist eliminationist. However, I believe that it was not just our approach to domestic security and international policy that had changed on 9/11. I believe that the way we talk to each other has to change too. Calling someone a traitor and a bloodthirsty terrorist was just hot air on 9/10/01. Now it means a whole lot more. We dont just have to worry about Islamic terrorists who hate our guts and want to wipe us all out. We have to worry about getting so paranoid that we start hating each other’s guts wiping each other out.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/10/26/AR2007102602402.html?hpid=artslot

Of course this is just more propoganda fromSoros/MSM
And the quotes must have been taken entirely out of context because everything is going great in Iraq

I have to leave for work in less than 5 minutes and have only skimmed through the last 3rd of the comments section. Just a quick item:

So often we hear that recruitment is down or that the military is scraping the bottom of the barrel to find the greatest of Americans (irony?).

I think I can attest that it is not as easy as one may think, to join our military.

Last February, I tried to join the California National Guard. I wanted to be able to balance a civilian life with providing military service for my country, during these times. Maybe take some of the stress and workload off of my fellow Americans serving in wartime. I took the ASVAB without a hitch; when I took my physical/medical, the doctor (who is not a part of the military and does everything he can to find something wrong with you) refused to clear me, even though my counselors tried a few “tricks”. I needed a medical waiver for poor eyesight, that fell .5 below the refractory limitation, set. The doctor said I would probably get it. My recruiter said I would probably get it. This was back in February, and it never came. My recruiter kept telling me to just be patient. The last two emails I sent her, have gone unanswered. I don’t know if I just got lost in bureaucracy, or what.

This past Monday, I visited a Marine recruiter office. Even though I’ll probably run into the same problem with my physical, perhaps this time I could have more success at obtaining a waiver. I believe the cut-off is now age 31; but that on a case-by-case basis, I thought, they could find a way to make exceptions. I’m 39 years old, and the recruiters in the office politely would not even give me a second look. They just flat-out said they couldn’t accept me, but made a call on my behalf, referring me back to the Army.

So, I may be looking into Army Reserve, or possibly even regular Army.

It’s not as easy to get in as some might think.

And really, that’s a good thing. I’d hate to be accepted into the military, knowing that I got in through some sort of “affirmative action” for the physically near-sighted. I want our military to keep the quality standards high.

That being said, a former Marine coworker of mine who served in OEF, and who advised me to look into the Marines because he thought that they were needing bodies, was surprised I didn’t get in. He said he’s seen Marine recruits get in, with Turrets, and that it might depend upon the recruiters, and what time of the month you go in (needing to fulfill quotas, by the end of the month).

Ok, Now I’m going to be 6 minutes late to work. Dammit!

At least they can’t make me do push-ups…