Donald Trump has won the Indiana primary in landslide. With Ted Cruz dropping out and barring a coup d’etat at the convention he is the nominee.
Trump’s negatives are very high (but then, so are Hillary’s) but it is undeniable that there is a hunger out there for what he represents. And that is, being out of the yoke of the establishment. Statements such as this
“The media has created the perception that the voters choose the nomination. That’s the conflict here,”
really piss people off. The GOP overlords make clear that your vote doesn’t matter. It’s an Outer Limits kind of thing:
[youtube]https://youtu.be/FCcdr4O-3gE[/youtube]
Voting for Trump makes people feel like they still are part of a democracy and they want a voice. For better or worse, Trump is not beholden to mega donors. In fact, they’re sitting on their checkbooks, and frankly, that will provide Trump with even more appeal to the average voter.
Trump can win. He can beat Hillary. Some interesting rumblings are afoot. There is a recent Rasmussen poll showing Trump over Hillary 41-39:
Last week, Rasmussen Reports gave voters the option of staying home on Election Day if Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the big party nominees, and six percent (6%) said that’s what they intend to do for now. Clinton and Trump were tied with 38% support each; 16% said they would vote for some other candidate, and two percent (2%) were undecided.
But Trump edges slightly ahead if the stay-at-home option is removed. Trump also now does twice as well among Democrats as Clinton does among Republicans.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with 41% support to Clinton’s 39%. Fifteen percent (15%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Trump has reached a new high level of support among Republicans:
Donald Trump reached a new high among Republicans in a national NBC News|SurveyMonkey poll released Tuesday.
The real estate mogul has 56 percent support, more than doubling his advantage over Ted Cruz, who sits at 22 percent. John Kasich rounds out the survey with 14 percent support. An additional 7 percent remain undecided.
But it’s later on in the article that things get interesting:
In a hypothetical head-to-head matchup, Clinton beats both Trump and Cruz, though many voters haven’t surveyed haven’t decided who they would vote for. Of those who did, however, Clinton tops Trump by 6 percentage points (43 percent to 37 percent) and Cruz by 14 percentage points (44 percent to 30 percent).
Six points is not a big lead for now and that was with Cruz in the race. But here’s why Trump can win. A CNN/ORC poll shows Clinton leading 54-41 but again, it’s in the nitty gritty where the important stuff lies:
While Clinton is better trusted than Trump on many top issues such as terrorism, immigration, healthcare and climate change, he leads Clinton, 50 to 45 percent, among who voters say would do a better job handling the economy.
Clinton is going to get absolutely pounded by Trump’s version of Sherman’s March to the Sea. He is going throttle her on foreign policy and judgment. Obamacare is staring into the abyss with dramatic rate increases that could emerge one week before the election.
“Proposed rate hikes are just starting to dribble out, setting up a battle over health insurance costs in a tumultuous presidential election year that will decide the fate of Obamacare.”
The headlines are likely to keep coming right up to Election Day since many consumers won’t see actual rates until the insurance marketplaces open Nov. 1 — a week before they go to the polls.
That’s right: just one week before the election date, Americans will be served with what now appears will be double (if not more) digit increases in their insurance premiums. Politico is spot on in saying that “the last thing Democrats want to contend with just a week before the 2016 presidential election is an outcry over double-digit insurance hikes as millions of Americans begin signing up for Obamacare.“
There’s Clinton’s waffling on the TPP, which she was all on favor of until she wasn’t. Then she was going to put coal miners out of jobs and coal companies out of business until suddenly she wasn’t.
Clinton waged war on women until she suddenly didn’t.
Yes, Trump is behind in some polls, but not all of them. The battle hasn’t even begun yet. But here’s the thing:
…he leads Clinton, 50 to 45 percent, among who voters say would do a better job handling the economy.
And as we all know, it’s the economy, stupid. It’s the #1 issue for the country. Yes, he’s a jerk. But now he’s our jerk.
And he can win.
Hillary is calling on the press to stop Trump:
[youtube]https://youtu.be/HNhsHpm-T4E[/youtube]
via the Weekly Standard
This speaks to a deficit of self confidence.
DrJohn has been a health care professional for more than 30 years. In addition to clinical practice he has done extensive research and has published widely with over 70 original articles and abstracts in the peer-reviewed literature. DrJohn is well known in his field and has lectured on every continent except for Antarctica. He has been married to the same wonderful lady for over 30 years and has three kids- two sons, both of whom are attorneys and one daughter on her way into the field of education.
DrJohn was brought up with the concept that one can do well if one is prepared to work hard but nothing in life is guaranteed.
Except for liberals being foolish.
Yes he is a jerk. A billionaire Archy Bunker with a case of narcissism. He will not be my jerk. It’s one thing to have a president you didn’t vote for to oppose but how do you oppose someone you held your nose and voted for. At least if Hillary is President she will be opposed (granted not as vigorously as I would like) by elected Republicans. If Donald is an elected Republican, there will be no one to oppose his leftist tendencies. And he can’t win. There are not enough white men to elect him and he will never get the women’s vote. #nevertrump
@Lynn Tercel:
You have your formulation exactly, dangerously backwards.
Trump seems not to have any real core ideology, so there’s no reason to think he’ll make a hard pivot to the Left once he’s in. He likes to be liked and he’s got no motivation to turn on the people that elected him just to please a bunch of people that will hate him anyway. Moreover, as a particularly hated Republican you can bet that the press and Congress (all of Congress, both parties) will do what they can to keep his excesses in check, whatever they may be.
If you stay home and Hilary wins there’s every indication that she will sweep a Democratic Congress in along with her. Do you know what that means? It means a rock solid 5-4 liberal majority in the SCOTUS for at least a generation. Considering that it took Obama less than 2 years to shove Obamacare down the nation’s throat with a 1-vote majority can you imagine what Hilary will do with a solidly Democratic Congress? And the press, far from keeping her in check, will cheerlead and cover for her every step of the way.
Look, I don’t like Trump either. But if there was ever a case to be made for the lesser evil this election is it. The damage that Hilary would do with a unified Congress behind her is the kind of damage that couldn’t be undone. It doesn’t bear thinking about.
It sucks that there’s no Conservative in the race ubt the fact is that #nevertrump = #PresidentHilary = the literal demise of the Republic. Get over yourself and do the right thing.
Trump is garbage. Hillary is poison.
@Lynn Tercel: “not enough white men and he’ll never get the women’s vote.” There it is.
He’ll make an effort by backing planned parenthood but it won’t be enough to offset his female disapproval 70%.
He’ll also attempt to appease the Latin vote 17% by “delaying” the wall and deportation of the undocumented.
He may shoot someone in Times Square just to test his base–they won’t budge.
Also, and I say this as someone who backed Cruz…
We’ve all been saying “Trump can’t possibly win” for a year now and yet he keeps winning.
Hillary lost the white vote, the women’s vote and the young vote in Indiana last night.
Many Bernie supporters say they prefer Trump to Hillary.
I think Trump – Bernie are in some agreement when it comes to trade and the ill-effects of big, faceless donors in campaigns.
Although they want different solutions, their supporters see common ground against a Hillary who wants open borders, more trade at the expense of the US worker and plenty of money from the faceless donors.
When I look at those enamoured of staying on ”the dole” for life, those voters, if they show up, will pick Hillary over Trump who wishes to put American back to work.
Supposedly, the Electoral College favors the Dems.
But a Republican, especially one with appeal to the Independent voters as well as some Dem crossover, can win.
And, not only has Trump done that, but he has also gotten new voters involved, many for their 1st time in their adult lives.
The ads just make themselves:
Hillary lying to the Benghazi families while their loved ones lie in coffins
VS
Donald Trump helping the American families of those murdered by illegal aliens.
Or
Donald Trump helping Sgt. Tamarisi when Obama/Hillary refused to lift a finger while that man sat for months in a Mexican prison for making a wrong turn at the Mexican border while moving his guns.
The one and only thing Hillary has going for her is media support. So far, while the media enhances her, their attacks on Trump not only don’t hurt him, but make him stronger. I wonder what affect such thinly-veiled stupidity such as this will have?
http://www.foxnews.com/entertainment/2016/05/04/quantico-episode-featured-attack-using-trumps-slogan.html?intcmp=hpbt4
It may serve the continued awakening many are having with media bias. “Madame Secretary” is widely regarded as nothing more than a weak attempt to confuse liberals that can’t tell the difference between Hollywood fiction and reality into believing Hollary was a rootin’, tootin’ action packed Sec of State instead of a dismal, national security disseminating, lying failure.
By the way, Kasich has now dropped out.
Trump can win? Anyone who actually believes Trump can get a sizable amount of votes in the female, youth and non-white voting blocks and actually win must’ve slept through the presidential elections of 2008 and 2012.
@Gary Miller: Trump Invites Ecstatic Hispanic Supporter on Stage in Nevada
You confuse Hispanic VOTERS with illegals who, at this time, cannot vote, Gary.
Hispanic voters want jobs.
http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2015/12/23/backlash-hispanics-hillary-clinton-notmyabuela/
“It would be very dismaying to think this kind of absurdly heavy-handed pandering worked with any American demographic. So far, it doesn’t look like Hispanic voters are going for it.”
Just like women voters do.
http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/02/hillary-clinton-2016-woman-problem-213621
“Bernie Sanders, a 74-year-old white man, won 53 percent of the female vote, compared with Clinton’s 46 percent. And his numbers among young women were astonishing: 82 percent of women under age 30 supported him.”
Just like young (especially deep in debt to college loans) people do.
http://thinkprogress.org/politics/2016/03/02/3754874/hillary-students-virginia/ “Clinton lost the youth vote to rival Bernie Sanders in every single state….”
@Nanny G:
Nancy, thanks for your response, but Mr. Trump has a 77% unfavorable rating with Hispanics, 70% unfavorable with women and 75% unfavorable with voters 18-29. And when Mr. Trump is continually asked How? How will he create jobs?, he has no response.
I can’t decide if
0
@Nanny G:
Well, should not vote.
@Gary Miller:
And when Hillary and Bernie are asked or, for that matter, when Obama was asked, what was their response? Have you heard some specifics that sound reasonable or just oblique and opeque slogans? Look how that worked out under Obama, all those jobs the “stimulus”, green energy and Obamacare were going to create.
At least Trump HAS created businesses and jobs, so when someone like that makes those claims, it is more than political pie in the sky. He COULD do it whereas Obama, Hillary or Bernie have no experience with it, no past successes with it and absolutely no credibility on the subject.
@Bill: Another thing she has going for her is money, much of which will becoming from GOP donors.
@Ajay42302:
That’s amusing
@Ajay42302: I would advise her not to spend THAT money until it is in her hands. When she needs more cash she can just auction off some more vital national resources or interests.
@DrJohn: Glad I could bring some cheer into this far from amusing train wreck of an election.
While I seriously doubt the incoherent babbling buffoon Trump can take down Hillary, it will be interesting to see how many GOP seats your George Wallace remake takes down with him.
Amazing that Kasich – who never had a chance mathematically before Cruz dropped out – drops out today and the trial balloon is floated for him as VP. Doing so will guarantee Hillary wins the election, short of an indictment.
@Ajay42302: I believe you have been repeatedly asked to back up the leftist claims of various accusations yet you can never quite scrape together the proof you have. Again, what makes Trump racist, bigoted or what ever you are trying to infer with you George Wallace (D) reference? Or, babbling for that matter?
Oh, how about Hillary trying to lie her way out of telling coal miners she was going to make them all unemployed? Talk about a babbling idiot… along with a liar.
@Bill: Bill, despite the overwhelming validity of my claims, which anyone of political knowledge and unafraid to look and see what’s beyond the walls of their ideological bubble would substantiate or that a couple gazillion web pages would validate, those hypotheses are what I’ve deduced. And I think we both know that any of the many many links I produced would do nothing to clear your eyes of the Trump bowels they’ve been up. Trump loyalist are just irrational and impossible people to rationalize with.
Again, I’m no Hillary fan by any stretch and it’s unfortunate that this is the best America has to offer.
@Ajay42302: Just repeating what you heard someone else say. Got it.
@Ajay42302:
“George Wallace remake”
Congrats on the Daily Quinella. Both hyperbolic and vapid.
@DrJohn: He reminds me more of Populist Pat Buchanan an Irishman who seemed to be constantly mad about something or someone.
Trump has insulted so many Repubs. and their families that he’s gonna need a lot of Indies and Dems.to offset the Repub loses–If you were Cruz or Rubio would you endorse him?
Break up the Cubs–20-6 Arrieta, Lester and Hamels combined ERA 1.50–If Trump can win GOP nom, Cubs can win W.S.
@Greg:
Nice-looking young men whose parents no doubt are the workers, the backbone of this country. What’s your point?
Dr J
That poll is from Rasmuseen, he doesn’t gavels good track record
He was THE last major pollster to have Romney beating Obama
Rasmussen only calls land lines so his poll is skewed toward older voters
Nate Silver of 538 gives Rasmussen only a “C” rating and notes that overall his polls lean right about 3%
@Lynn Tercel:
Every woman, without an exception, on my facebook page supports Trump. Not even one supports Hillary. Where is this fallacy about women not supporting Trump coming from?
@Richard Wheeler:
He got enough to win the nomination. Nuff said.
@Bill:
In fact, Trump has a very good, recent video of Hillary shouting out to her crowd, ” We are going to put coal miners out of work, we are going to shut down the coal mines. ” Trump should play that in every one of his campaign ads.
@Bill: Maybe AJay just likes them cackling witchlike lesbian women.
@Richard Wheeler:
They both will.
@Bill:
Bill, do you live in America? We were losing hundreds of thousands of jobs a month prior to President Obama taking office. America has seen month after month of job growth since he took office. Unemployment rate was at 10% when he took office. Now it’s at 5%.
@Redteam, #25:
That might be an example of the birds-of-a-feather effect. Do you go out of your way to charm the liberal ladies?
A recent Gallop poll found that 70 percent of women have an unfavorable view of Donald Trump.
@Ajay42302:
Fixed that for you.
@Gary Miller:
Do YOU live in America? Were you living here in 2009? Obama made bold employment promises without the technical skill to back them up or to select competent people to make his promises reality. Hello?!?
The unemployment rate was around 7%. Though he PROMISED it would never reach 8% if he was allowed to spend $865 billion on his political supporters, it ballooned to 10.2%. His main impact on the unemployment stats is to discourage enough people to give up looking for a job to drop the percentage though the labor participation rate is at an all-time low. Smoke and mirrors.
Sorry if you expected him to be able to cut unemployment in half on first day in office
It took 90 days to pass his first legislation
3 months after that unemployment peaked
Not fast enough for you?
@John: Sorry if someone is dumb enough to believe the lame promises of someone that never even held a job while harshly criticizing someone that has been an economic engine.
I don’t criticize Obama for the hand he was dealt… I criticize his failure to achieve the goals he promised he would provide. He proved to be an incompetent liar and there is nothing to indicate Trump would not be a YUUUUGE improvement.
@Gary Miller:
The unemployment rate Bush endured is another reason not to elect another democrat as democrat were entirely responsible for it.
Also when you quote people please leave a citation
As in Ovana promised
Show that if you can when i looked I saw nothing showing he actually used that word
@John: One, I never quoted Ovana, two, that promise is well known and documented (I DID provide a citation previously) and, three, when will I be getting citations and proof of some of the outrageous accusations you leftists make?
@DrJohn: Coukd you please explain that ? Why Bush was not responsible for crashing the economy and Obama was ?? Perhaps you have chosen to forget when the Dow crashed to 6500 and no one knew where the bottom was
I can’t recall many Bills passing Congress without bipartisan support the Dems had a bare majority
@John: Excuse me for butting in here, but who said Obama crashed the economy? He simply did nothing to rebuild it and everything to KEEP it crashed.
However, since you think it logical to hold Bush 100% responsible for the 2007 recession (after he endured a recession handed over from Clinton in 2000 and another after 9/11, again thanks to Clinton, in 2001), why is it unreasonable to hold Obama 100% responsible for the sorry state of the economy today? After all, the 2007 recession was brought on by laws passed by liberals long before Bush took office while the current economic stagnation is entirely due to Obama’s anti-business economic and health care policies.
@Bill: I’m wondering if somewhere, maybe way down deep, in some possible way, that you might consider the Boehnor House and the McConnell Senate to have a teeny role in the slow recovery.
Sorry you are unhappy over economy
Obama has a pretty good job approval rating on Gallup probably you haven’t checked lately but it is twice as high as Bush ended with
Jobs ??? Big government is supposed to create them ???
I thought that was the duty of “the job creators” those 1%ers you are always cutting taxes for
Say bill what kind of work do you do ?
Are you one of those old bitter men on the internet because you are “retired”? Complaining about lazy people not working ? I am driving my truck right now with over a ton of concrete and gravel in bags
And driving is the easiest part of what I do
@Bill: If, like the devoted Repub. you are, you bought stocks( S&P 500) or a home in Jan. 2009 immediately following BHO’S inauguration you’d be up a rousing 150% and 50% respectively.
Incredible ROI
Wondering your thoughts on all these Conservatives who say they won’t back Trump? I don’t think he cares. As a Populist he’ll now move to the middle to secure Indies and some Dems. Once again Cons. left behind by Repub. Party nominee.–no different than what Mac and Mitt did.–probably bring the same outcome.
One difference–Mac and Mitt were solid moderate Repubs. Trump a populist just wants votes wherever he can get em. Doesn’t care much for minority Conservs.–looking for large #s of disgruntled indies and Dems–that’s where the votes are—all he cares about is winning for HIS legacy.
Bill is sort of a lefty capitalists love the Obama economy
Inflation at record lows cheap energy and low wages that’s what capitalists like
As profits soar and shareholder values skyrocket
@Richard Wheeler: If the Cubs win the W.S., watch out for the Yellowstone Caldera.
@Ajay42302:
I think somewhere among the 400 or so House bills sent to the Senate which Harry Reid shelved while he was in charge could have been some aid… if Obama would not have vetoed them. No budgets, no tax relief for businesses, no relief for businesses from the impact of Obamacare (resulting in most of those jobs created being part-time jobs). McConnell has been in Reid’s seat for less than two years and Obama openly vows to veto (or does veto) any bill that does not comport with his liberal view; no, I hold the Republicans not responsible for the stagnation.
@John: I wonder where you think many people are to get the information they need to form an educated opinion of Obama’s performance… the media? Take a look at the circus put on in Flint yesterday with the only person willing to step up and accept responsibility for the failures of the liberal EPA and the liberal city management… the Republican governor… being booed for telling the truth? Obama says he “has their back”… hell, his cronies CAUSED the fiasco!! Does the media accurately portray that? Uh… NO.
Big government simply needs to get out of the way. How many jobs are being created by the government assassination of the coal industry? How many jobs were created by the killing of the Keystone pipeline? How many jobs have been created by the enviro-fascists driven agenda to block domestic oil production?
I’m 63 and working at the business aviation job I have had for 37 years. Currently, after trying to bounce back from the recession WHILE liberals have attacked the industry (as they score free rides on their donor’s private jets), we are facing another slowdown and force reduction. These are not people flipping burgers and demanding $15 an hour… these are skilled craftsmen and mechanics that have good-paying jobs about to be set out on the street by a miserable economy. What do you think will happen to YOUR job if the environmentalists get their way and drive the cost of diesel fuel through the roof?
@Bill: It would seem that out of all of those 400 GOP bills you imply would have helped the economy, you could have at least specified a few.
I would name a few but I honestly don’t know of any. I recall many that were filibustered such as The American Job Act which even many conservative studies agreed would create around 200 million jobs. I also recall a GOP Congress refusing to even consider any negotitions of tweaking it to their liking. I also recall GOP leaders such as McConnell and DeMint openly admitting their intent of failure to unseat Obama. The arguments of GOP intentional sabotage are many.
The only, and I mean only, economic remedies the GOP would consider is less taxes for the most wealthy and less regulations on their corporations. That’s it and nothing else. And they’ve held any economic recovery ransom unless they catered to those demands to appease their donors.
Perhaps this is why we have such an angry electorate.
Perhaps tfat is also why public opinion of the GOP is at an historic low
@Gary Miller: 30
You believe the Dimocrat spin do you? There are more unemployed potential workers in the US than there has ever been. When someone stops looking because there are no jobs, they don’t stay on the ‘unemployed’ list. They are then on the ‘can’t find a job’ list.