He’s a jerk, but now he’s our jerk. And yes, he can win. UPDATED

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Donald Trump has won the Indiana primary in landslide. With Ted Cruz dropping out and barring a coup d’etat at the convention he is the nominee.

Trump’s negatives are very high (but then, so are Hillary’s) but it is undeniable that there is a hunger out there for what he represents. And that is, being out of the yoke of the establishment. Statements such as this

“The media has created the perception that the voters choose the nomination. That’s the conflict here,”

really piss people off. The GOP overlords make clear that your vote doesn’t matter. It’s an Outer Limits kind of thing:

 

Voting for Trump makes people feel like they still are part of a democracy and they want a voice. For better or worse, Trump is not beholden to mega donors. In fact, they’re sitting on their checkbooks, and frankly, that will provide Trump with even more appeal to the average voter.

Trump can win. He can beat Hillary. Some interesting rumblings are afoot. There is a recent Rasmussen poll showing Trump over Hillary 41-39:

Last week, Rasmussen Reports gave voters the option of staying home on Election Day if Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the big party nominees, and six percent (6%) said that’s what they intend to do for now. Clinton and Trump were tied with 38% support each; 16% said they would vote for some other candidate, and two percent (2%) were undecided.

But Trump edges slightly ahead if the stay-at-home option is removed. Trump also now does twice as well among Democrats as Clinton does among Republicans.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with 41% support to Clinton’s 39%. Fifteen percent (15%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Trump has reached a new high level of support among Republicans:

Donald Trump reached a new high among Republicans in a national NBC News|SurveyMonkey poll released Tuesday.

The real estate mogul has 56 percent support, more than doubling his advantage over Ted Cruz, who sits at 22 percent. John Kasich rounds out the survey with 14 percent support. An additional 7 percent remain undecided.

But it’s later on in the article that things get interesting:

In a hypothetical head-to-head matchup, Clinton beats both Trump and Cruz, though many voters haven’t surveyed haven’t decided who they would vote for. Of those who did, however, Clinton tops Trump by 6 percentage points (43 percent to 37 percent) and Cruz by 14 percentage points (44 percent to 30 percent).

Six points is not a big lead for now and that was with Cruz in the race. But here’s why Trump can win. A CNN/ORC poll shows Clinton leading 54-41 but again, it’s in the nitty gritty where the important stuff lies:

While Clinton is better trusted than Trump on many top issues such as terrorism, immigration, healthcare and climate change, he leads Clinton, 50 to 45 percent, among who voters say would do a better job handling the economy.

Clinton is going to get absolutely pounded by Trump’s version of Sherman’s March to the Sea. He is going throttle her on foreign policy and judgment. Obamacare is staring into the abyss with dramatic rate increases that could emerge one week before the election.

“Proposed rate hikes are just starting to dribble out, setting up a battle over health insurance costs in a tumultuous presidential election year that will decide the fate of Obamacare.”

The headlines are likely to keep coming right up to Election Day since many consumers won’t see actual rates until the insurance marketplaces open Nov. 1 — a week before they go to the polls.

That’s right: just one week before the election date, Americans will be served with what now appears will be double (if not more) digit increases in their insurance premiums. Politico is spot on in saying that “the last thing Democrats want to contend with just a week before the 2016 presidential election is an outcry over double-digit insurance hikes as millions of Americans begin signing up for Obamacare.

There’s Clinton’s waffling on the TPP, which she was all on favor of until she wasn’t.  Then she was going to put coal miners out of jobs and coal companies out of business until suddenly she wasn’t.

Clinton waged war on women until she suddenly didn’t.

Yes, Trump is behind in some polls, but not all of them. The battle hasn’t even begun yet. But here’s the thing:

…he leads Clinton, 50 to 45 percent, among who voters say would do a better job handling the economy.

And as we all know, it’s the economy, stupid. It’s the #1 issue for the country. Yes, he’s a jerk. But now he’s our jerk.

And he can win.

Hillary is calling on the press to stop Trump:

via the Weekly Standard

This speaks to a deficit of self confidence.

 

 

DrJohn has been a health care professional for more than 30 years. In addition to clinical practice he has done extensive research and has published widely with over 70 original articles and abstracts in the peer-reviewed literature. DrJohn is well known in his field and has lectured on every continent except for Antarctica. He has been married to the same wonderful lady for over 30 years and has three kids- two sons, both of whom are attorneys and one daughter on her way into the field of education. DrJohn was brought up with the concept that one can do well if one is prepared to work hard but nothing in life is guaranteed. Except for liberals being foolish.

141 Responses to “He’s a jerk, but now he’s our jerk. And yes, he can win. UPDATED”

  1. 101

    John

    Billy being your opinion dies not make it a “fact”
    Sorry about that, hope it was not too disturbing to your sense of reality
    Obama’s approval ratings are 2 or 3 times as high as Bush ended with, and Anericans will choose to put another Dem into the White Hiyse and probably throw the GOP out if control of the Senate
    When Clinton puts the next Assivuate Justice on the SCOTUS gerrymandering will end and the Hoyse will become competitive
    That is the future

  2. 102

    Bill

    @John: Perhaps in the world of dimwits, when they hear someone else likes something they know is bad, they suspend reality and like it too. However, in the world of reality where Obama’s failures are PAINFULLY obvious, what some MSM-induced fool thinks of Obama is of little importance to me.

    When the unemployment rate was dropping despite the reported number of jobs opened up was less than the number of people entering the work force (aside from those who had lost existing jobs) it was abundantly clear what the credibility level of the government’s (and media’s) reporting was.

    Once suspicion is aroused, one has only to dig a bit to find more and more.

    Though even after 8 years the left STILL blames everyone but themselves, the facts are that Obama made promises that he did not keep… because he never knew what he was talking about.

    He was a liar and has done nothing but lie for almost 8 years; we certainly don’t need another liberal, incompetent liar for another term.

  3. 103

    Redteam

    @Rich Wheeler: You’ve been a Trump supporter. You’re saying you really are a Hillary supporter? just too embarrassed to admit it. I’ll say exactly what i’ve said from day one, I’ll vote for Trump if he’s the nominee because he is a natural born citizen and he’s eligible for the office. But the main thing he has going is he’s not a politician and he’s not a Dimocrat.
    What time is your Rainbow Bash starting today? You already there, or just on the way?

  4. 104

    Greg

    @Bill, #96:

    And I believe Russia is quite desirous of a Hillary Presidency. She can be used as an ignorant pawn just like Obama was, only it will cost them some coin.

    I require evidence before I believe things. I see abundant evidence that Trump is a egotistical jackass prone to childish temper tantrums, and that Putin is a grown-up playground bully compensating for deep internal insecurities. No reasonable person would be likely to sleep better at night, knowing these two clowns had their fingers on launch buttons connected to the world’s two greatest nuclear arsenals. There needs to be at least one adult in the room.

    I’ve always appreciated Obama’s thoughtful, deliberate manner. He has the sort of impulse control that a president requires.

  5. 108

    Redteam

    @Greg:

    We’ll see how far that gets him in the general election.

    I bet he will be in the campaign all the way to election day. You want to bet he doesn’t go that far? Seems like a losing proposition for you.

  6. 109

    Redteam

    @Ajay42302:

    You sure take the long route in running from the argument, blaming Obama for the GOP obstruction

    Actually it wasn’t ‘blame’ it was ‘credit’ to Obama for getting his congress to turn down his bill. Try to keep up.

  7. 110

    Redteam

    @Rich Wheeler:

    Tell you what RT– I’ll endorse Trump right after Ted Cruz endorses him.

    I’m surprised you are advising Cruz to endorse Trump. I’m sure he will, but I’m surprised to hear that you’re going too.

  8. 111

    Redteam

    @Bill:

    Trump is NOT going to be the humongous failure Obama and Hillary were; that is statistically impossible.

    It is actually impossible to have a worse administration than Clinton and Obama. You’d have to crawl under a huge pile of Donkey dung.

  9. 112

    Bill

    @Greg: Well, let’s review. Hillary pushed for the deposing of Khadafi without any thought to the power vacuum that would leave (kind of like Obama cutting and running from Iraq… seems to be a liberal policy) which led to Benghazi and, after Obama swung the gate wide open for them in Iraq and Syria, ISIS. She showed how incompetent she was by giving the Russian ambassador that “reset” button without bothering to spell check it. Then, in order to have the option to delete politically harmful information, she conducted State Department business on a secret, private, unsecured server (which was hacked), storing over 2000 classified emails illegally on it, 22 of which were so sensitive, the investigators were not cleared to read them.

    She has peddled US influence for her personal profit. When the consulate was being sacked, she could not be bothered… then she lied about it. Her State Department “misplaced $6 billion.

    Then, there are all her flip-flops and lies on domestic policy.

    Oh, yeah, I would rest easy knowing this splendid specimen was in the Oval Office.

    Personal insults? Hillary loves to call people racists, homophobes, Islamaphobes and hater in general. Just because that is simply routine for a liberal does not mean it is not “name calling”.

  10. 113

    Greg

    Then, there are all her flip-flops and lies on domestic policy.

    As opposed to the unwavering truthfulness and consistency of position demonstrated by Donald Trump?

    There are not enough totally clueless people in America to elect this guy. Just enough to get him nominated.

  11. 114

    Bill

    @Greg: Only Trump isn’t a corrupt, incompetent liar that got a consulate sacked, an ambassador killed and served up national security on her unsecured email buffet. So, he has a leg up.

  12. 116

    Redteam

    @Greg:

    Only to pee on the GOP. They ought to dump this guy, before he takes the party down with him.

    Why would a liberal be advising the opposition on how to beat them. The answer, they’re afraid of Trump. They can’t figure him out. He wasn’t supposed to win, he did. He’s not supposed to win, he will. The libs are terrified, they don’t want to face him. So the Repubs are supposed to surrender.

  13. 117

    Carson Matthews

    If Trump becoming President will cause the contempt and anger of the American political Right to subside, then I am all for it. Anything but their destructive loathing of the American President and their destructive economic pessimism that discourages U.S. economic growth.

    I really don’t want to have to suffer another 4-8 years of Conservatives hating the President from the very depths of their souls and calling the President every childish name in the book.

    Besides, Trump becoming President would deny the political Right the things that they most love- being on the attack and fear-mongering in regard to a President.

    Is it giving into domestic terrorism to want the Right appeased? Possibly so. But I know that their caustic divisiveness and constant trolling of President Obama isn’t good for America. And neither is their desire to promote all things negative to the exclusion of all things positive.

    Seeing the political Right in the position of having to defend the federal government and answer for the federal government, a position in which the Right is terribly uncomfortable, would give me pleasure.

    Don’t tell the political Right but if Trump wins they lose since it would deny them the ability to sit around whining about the President, force them to both defend the federal government and be answerable for the federal government, and put them in a position they much loathe- having to be positive.

  14. 119

    Bill

    @Carson Matthews: If Trump wins, we will lose the opportunity to have a corrupt, incompetent liar in the White House, elected solely because she is a liberal woman. Or, to have a socialist dedicated to creating the utopia of Venezuela here in America (a task Obama made great progress in achieving).

    We will lose the opportunity to have every failure turned into a racial episode in which anyone that is critical of the lies, failure and/or incompetence is deemed a racist hater. We will never again get to see heavy-handed leftist policies drive businesses into hibernation, underground or overseas. We will miss out on fascist government attacks on ranchers and land owners.

    No more will we have the pleasure of seeing illegal immigrants treated as welcomed, honored guests while veterans wait indefinitely for medical treatment and millions of Americans can’t find work.

    Perhaps never more will “rights” be created out of thin air and citizens be forced, not just to abide by them, but to participate in the practices of those whose rights to accommodation is limited only to their imagination.

    Golly, I’ll sure miss all that.

  15. 120

    Greg

    It’s easy to claim you’re going to do all sorts of things, when none of your supporters ever require you to explain exactly how you’re going to do them.

  16. 126

    John

    Support?
    Looks like you do have problems at least in reading
    I don’t “support” her and in fact am not planning on voting for her
    I live in NY since she is going to win easily here I have the option of writing in
    Sorry Bill, try to be more analytical and less emotional

  17. 129

    Richard Wheeler

    @Bill: Any sane person would not support HRC OR pathological liar Donald Trump—over 60% of the electorate dislike both—-believe we’ll have a viable 3rd Party choice before this is over.

  18. 130

    Bill

    @Richard Wheeler: Let’s look at those unfavorables; Trump gets nothing but attacks from the media. When he says we need to enforce our immigration laws, they report he hates immigrants. When he says we should suspend bringing in terrorist-infused Syrian refugees until we have the resources to properly vet them, they report he hates Muslims. It goes on and on.

    Meanwhile, they under-report Hillary’s lies and failures as the laud her “accomplishments”. Yet, they are about even in negative rating. What does that tell you?

    Explain how Trump has been a “pathological liar”. I think you’re wrong. Has he lied about the dangers he’s faced? Has he lies about the donations he’s received? Has he lied about his actions in getting Americans killed? I don’t think you can show anything he might possibly have misrepresented rising (or sinking) to the level Hillary has achieved.

    His statements about illegal immigrant crime, though branded a lie, was backed up by FBI statistics. His suggestion that we should stop importing terrorists until we can bet them was backed up by Homeland Security. You leftists should note that just because you don’t like the data or the messages disagrees with your ideology does not make it a lie; it is only labeled as such to demean the truth… truth that stings.

    @John: I think that is possible. Outlying areas of the state are more traditional and conservative and Trump COULD win NYC. The fact is, Trump defies convention.

  19. 131

    John

    THE MEDIA!!!
    Americans have a wide range of media to choose from
    The fact is that you just don’t like what others freely choose, most people do not choose Fox or whatever media you would prefer them to consume
    You dontvwant others to choose what they want, YOU think that you know what is best for all
    You have little tolerance for the viewpoints of others. In our next election Americans will choose who they want based on what is important to themselves
    If you are again for the third time in a row disappointed, well……

  20. 132

    Bill

    @John: Yeah. The corrupt, left wing media. It got Obama elected… twice and, though they don’t particularly like the obnoxious Hillary, they will do all they can to select the next liberal to be President.

    If a Republican was currently President, do you think the media would be so quiet on the miserable state of the economy? If a Republican President was whipping up racial hatred whenever possible, would this get NO coverage? Just look at the frenzy the left was in over the imaginaryj specific warnings Bush was said to have had on 9/11… if we had had a Republican President and Secretary of State, how big an election year story would Benghazi have been (recall that CBS fabricated evidence against Bush to try and influence the 2004 election)?

    There is but one element keeping Hillary afloat and that is the will of the media. What else, aside from favorable coverage, does she have going for her? Even THAT cannot give her a clear margin of victory.

  21. 133

    John

    Again Bill
    Thus us the nedia that Americabs want to consume
    They just don’t want to see Fox or any other right wing media
    Americans WANT liberal media
    But you don’t want them to be able to choose
    You want them to have no choice to consume only the media that you think is best for them

  22. 134

    Bill

    @John: So, you believe Americans want to be lied to and fed a diet of left wing propaganda that serves a political elite? You think Americans want their economy to remain stagnant, full time jobs turned into part time jobs and the nation flooded with illegal immigrants? You think it is enough to be told you are safe even though no one actually knows what or where the threats are? I doubt it.

    You merely are satisfied with a lying media that tells you the things that reinforces your biases and ideology. You don’t want the truth because you KNOW the truth would shatter your perceptions.

    Keep yourself in the dark… you’re better off there.

  23. 136

    Bill

    @John: Yeah, there is a comparison; I am making it. Pay attention.

    On the one hand, the left lies and criticized about Bush being forewarned. On the other, the left ignores true warnings about Benghazi and requests for added security that went unheeded. Not only that, but you attack anyone that points this out.

    I get a big kick out of you leftists demeaning the criticism of the corrupt liberal media and the, with your next breath, commence to whining about Fox, the one outlet that is not a liberal shill.

  24. 137

    john

    Bill very very few people choose to watch Fox News. During the prime time news hour each evening about 10% of the TVs tune to that station.
    I did not attack you for pointing out that more security was asked for by Ambassador Stevens. Please point out where I did. In fact although Stevens had asked for more security he felt comfortable going to that city and meeting with the Turkish Ambassador who apparently also felt comfortable doing so. If anyone should/could have been aware of the security it was him.
    Whining about Fox ? I merely point out to you that MOST Americans do not appreciate the same flavor of news that you do. Whining ? I think it a hoot when the rightwing turns on the free market for production of media that people WANT
    Sunshine, your views are in the minority in the USA. Conservatives couldn’t even NOMINATE a candidate to be elected POTUS let alone elect one.
    3 of the 4 families of the murdered have repeatedly asked the GOP from making this a partisan issue https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/checkpoint/wp/2015/10/14/the-anti-hillary-clinton-ad-thats-angering-some-family-members-of-benghazi-victims/
    All of our military AND the head of the committee admit that nothing could have been done to save them
    The Bengazzi!!! committee has been a waste of time and money Most americans know that
    Lunch is over time for me to work, let me guess? you collect a government check each month??

  25. 138

    John

    @Bill:
    I believe in the free market for media
    I believe everyone has the right to choose what they want to read
    Apparently you think YOU should decide for others what is correct for them to read
    Well sorry not here in the USA
    Try tfat do either place pal

  26. 139

    Bill

    @john:

    All of our military AND the head of the committee admit that nothing could have been done to save them The Bengazzi!!!

    Tell me… How did anyone know how long the fight would last and that there was nothing to be done? There were certainly those who wanted to try, but apparently it was more important to begin working on the cover story than it was to save lives.

    And, yeah… WHINING

  27. 140

    Bill

    @John: Where did I say I was making decisions? I only point out that I can tell the difference between propaganda lies and facts.

    Why does the media not pressure Hillary on why she lied about the cause of the Benghazi attack until she gives a reasonable answer? That’s just ONE…

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