Trump’s support is still being underestimated

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The GOP firewall for stopping Donald Trump pretty much expires next Wednesday. If Trump takes Ohio and Florida it will be nearly impossible to stop him. A new poll shows Rubio narrowing Trump’s lead to eight points, 38 to 30. Ted Cruz is in third place at 17 points.

Polls also suggest that both Cruz and Rubio could best Hillary Clinton, but Trump would have an uphill battle.

Despite all that, I think Trump support is being considerably understated and underestimated. There are an awful lot of screwy things going on.

In Massachusetts 20,000 voters changed parties from democrat to Republican :

Nearly 20,000 Bay State Democrats have fled the party this winter, with thousands doing so to join the Republican ranks, according to the state’s top elections official.

Secretary of State William Galvin said more than 16,300 Democrats have shed their party affiliation and become independent voters since Jan. 1, while nearly 3,500 more shifted to the MassGOP ahead of tomorrow’s “Super Tuesday” presidential primary.

Galvin called both “significant” changes that dwarf similar shifts ahead of other primary votes, including in 2000, when some Democrats flocked from the party in order to cast a vote for Sen. John McCain in the GOP primary.

The primary reason? Galvin said his “guess” is simple: “The Trump phenomenon,” a reference to GOP frontrunner Donald Trump, who polls show enjoying a massive lead over rivals Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz and others among Massachusetts Republican voters.

In Mahoning County, Ohio, 1,000 voters switched affiliation:

About 1,000 Democrats in Mahoning County so far have switched their party affiliation to Republican with election officials saying several did it to vote for Donald Trump, the GOP presidential front-runner.

“We are seeing something this election cycle I’ve never seen before to this degree,” said board Chairman Mark Munroe, who’s also the county Republican chairman. “Every day I take phone calls or get voice messages from people saying they’ve been Democrats all their life and they’ve had it. They want to vote for Donald Trump. I’m surprised at the volume of inquiries we’re getting. It’s remarkable.”

A number of Democrats taking a Republican ballot when voting early at the board “say they want to vote for Trump,” said Joyce Kale-Pesta, Mahoning County Board of Elections director.

Trump has more Muslim support than the other GOP candidates- combined.

Then there was this rally- Muslims and Sikhs for Trump:

A group of Sikhs and Muslims mostly from South Asian countries have joined the Donald Trump bandwagon in the US state of Maryland, asserting that the Republican presidential frontrunner is “not against” their communities.

Under the banner of “Sikh Americans for Trump” and “Muslim Americans for Trump” scores of Sikhs and Muslims held their first meeting in a suburb of Washington DC in Maryland, wherein a representative from the Trump campaign addressed them.

Organisers of the event – from both the Sikh and Muslim communities – argued that the view of Trump about minority community has been “twisted” and “taken out of context” by the mainstream media and claimed that the 69-year-old billionaire real estate magnet would create more jobs in the country which would benefit he minorities.

“He (Trump) is not at all against the Sikhs or the Muslim community. What he says is given spin. The mainstream media gives a spin. Because they are scared of him. He is not the status quo. He is not taking anybody’s money,” said Jasdip Singh, who helped organised the “Sikh Americans for Trump” in Maryland.

A prominent member of the Sikh community, Singh is Chairman of the Maryland Governor’s Commission on South Asian Affairs and Chairman of the Board of Sikh Associations of Baltimore.

“When he talks about Muslims, he does not talk about all Muslims or American Muslims. He spoke in the context of the refugee crisis that was happening in Syria. We (Sikhs) agree with him. Muslim (Americans) agree with him that we should not bring people into this country before we can vet them. And this was a temporary measures proposed by him,” Singh said.

 And there’s the democrats’ worst nightmare:

Trump has struck a nerve with a lot of people and they are stubbornly resistant to the juvenile antics, the high school locker room patois, and the lack of policy specifics. My sense of this is that Trump’s support is wider and deeper than is being acknowledged.

Democrats are fretting about Trump’s appeal.

But a growing number of rank-and-file Democrats have a warning for their party leaders.

“Be careful what you ask for,” said Rep. Bennie Thompson (D-Miss.), another Clinton supporter and prominent member of the Congressional Black Caucus.

“A few months ago, nobody gave Donald Trump a chance of being a serious contender. Now he’s the leader. So it’s incumbent upon Democrats to do what, historically, we’ve been good at, and that’s communicating with our voters, letting them know what we stand for, and putting those apparatuses in place to move our voters to the polls.”

I think they’re right to fret.

DrJohn has been a health care professional for more than 30 years. In addition to clinical practice he has done extensive research and has published widely with over 70 original articles and abstracts in the peer-reviewed literature. DrJohn is well known in his field and has lectured on every continent except for Antarctica. He has been married to the same wonderful lady for over 30 years and has three kids- two sons, both of whom are attorneys and one daughter on her way into the field of education. DrJohn was brought up with the concept that one can do well if one is prepared to work hard but nothing in life is guaranteed. Except for liberals being foolish.

55 Responses to “Trump’s support is still being underestimated”

  1. 51

    Tony Plank

    @DrJohn:

    @Tony Plank:

    My argument is rooted in who we are as Americans.

    That’s what got us 9-11. Welcoming, naive, unassuming, disbelieving that no one would ever use a passenger jet as a missile.

    Interesting response. Who we are as Americans makes us naive? I must be misunderstanding your point.

    If you are calling me naive, you are assuming a great deal of knowledge about me that you do not have.

    Know how the FBI catches bad people?

    I hope the answer to that one is not short.

    https://tonyplank.wordpress.com/

  2. 52

    Redteam

    @kitt: Sorry Kitt, but nothing in that law would include either Ted Cruz or Marco Rubio. If you’re depending on this line: ” And the children of citizens of the United States that may be born beyond Sea, or out of the limits of the United States, shall be considered as natural born Citizens: “first you should recognize that it says children of ‘citizens’ (note that is plural) That seems clear enough. But a continuation of that statement also adds: Provided, that the right of citizenship shall not descend to persons whose fathers have never been resident in the United States:
    So there are numerous problems, first his ‘parents’ are not citizens, only one of them is. Rubo is clearly not eligible under any set of circumstances.

  3. 54

    Bookdoc

    I am a Cruz supporter and am a car salesman at dealership in a higher income area although we serve some older communities as well. I have been amazed at the variety of Trump supporters I have seen. He has tapped an anger that has been building for years. The republicans were given the House and the Senate and yet NOTHING changed. The electorate is sick of politicians and has trouble trusting any of them. Trump’s popularity is because he’s NOT a politician. If the GOP leadership had an ounce of sense they would look at Trump’s message on immigration and see which way the wind is blowing and stop shoving a rino down our throats.

  4. 55

    Florin Lupusoru

    One should not be surprised if plenty of democrats are already switching sides. If a ship is sinking why not move to a safer one?

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