Why Obama Will Win the Election – And One Reason to Believe he Won’t [Reader Post]

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This is another one of those topics I’ve had kicking around for a while and since it will become irrelevant in 48 hours now seemed as good a time as any to wrap things up. This will be one of my posts that will give everyone something to hate. Most of this post is things I’ve been saying since 2009 – the subject has angered my conservative friends for obvious reasons, while the reasons behind my conclusions don’t go over well with my leftist friends. Since early in his presidency I have asserted that President Obama would get re-elected in 2012 no matter who he ran against, and regardless of how badly he does the job of president.

First off, my belief that Obama would win based on two basic points about Obama himself – his greatest passion and his greatest skill set. What is the one thing that Obama loves deeply and more passionately than anything else in this world? Barack Obama, of course. Look back to the early days of his presidency and how Obama reacted to criticism. He lashed out at Glenn Beck and Rush Limbaugh for criticizing his policies. Contrast that with how Obama reacted to Daniel Ortega’s angry rant against the US back in 2009, with a chuckle of “I’m grateful that President Ortega did not blame me for things that happened when I was three months old.” Or take when Hugo Chavez decided to embarrass an amateur by publicly presenting Obama with a “gift” of a book (written in Spanish, a language the president doesn’t know) that was highly critical of the United States. Obama just shrugged this insult off by saying, “You know, I thought it was one of Chavez’s books,” Obama answered. “I was going to give him one of mine.” So why would the president fire back at critics while ignoring the insults against his country on an international stage? It’s simple, Ortega and Chavez only insulted America, something that the president could care less about or whose history he has no appreciation for, at least not until the president is done

“…fundamentally transforming the United States of America.” But critics of Obama and his policies, well that hit something that the president truly cares about – Barack Obama. And of course he shot back when someone dared criticize the greatest love of his life. Which takes me to the second part of my theory on Obama…

What is the president’s single most, greatest skill? He is skilled at speaking passionately and getting crowds excited about the one subject that Obama wants them to love as much as he does – Barack Obama. Sadly, his spell is still working too well over our country’s biggest Super Pac over influencing public opinion, the mainstream media. No matter how badly our economy might be performing the left will still have no shortage of excuses or random data points that will allow them to convince themselves that the president is doing a good job. No blunder that the president makes, no matter how egregious, can’t be swept under the rug or given excuses to justify. Or even more disturbing, the press will rush to defend the president they worked so hard to elect by treating criticism of the president that journalists used to do as “politicizing” or “gaffes”. While he may not know how to govern, the president is truly a campaigning machine, which is convenient since lie a single-minded Terminator it’s all he seems to have done since entering office.

You still don’t get it, do you? That’s what he does! That’s ALL he does!

And it’s worked quite well, despite a dismal economy and a foreign policy that has left us at a point where our friends don’t trust us and the bad guys don’t respect us. A president who promised to bring this country together has run a relentless campaign of resentment and division as the cornerstone of his re-election campaign. This is the natural progression of the empty promises of Hope and Change naturally evolving into anger and resentment. In fact, there is nothing that the president can do that the left isn’t ready to try to explain away:

  • Remember Romney’s “gaffetastic” foreign campaign trip? If the left applied any kinds of standards they would be laughing at Romney’s amateurish attempts at offending his hosts compared to a president who made an art form of offending Poland, Israel, and the U. K.
  • Ignoring Congress and going to the UN for approval that leads to a war of choice that gets our embassy destroyed and ambassador murdered? Nothing to see here. Criticism of the event itself and the cover up? Politicization.
  • Higher health insurance rates due to the extra costs caused by Obamacare? That’s just because of greedy businesses. Apparently the laws of supply and demand no longer impact prices and have been trumped by the laws of Hope and Change.
  • Our federal debt increase under Obama? That’s Bush’s fault, like everything else. Of course, to believe that requires a pretty good suspension of reality, such as the Bush’s tax cuts are actually a cause of the increased debt. Forget that federal tax receipts collected hit all time highs under Bush. Apparently there is no longer a difference between income and expenses – yes, the basic laws of Accounting have also given way.
  • And the overall economy? Don’t get me started. There is no data point, no matter how flimsy, that any leftist can’t pick out that will allow them to ignore high unemployment, low growth, mounting debt and high fuel prices that would have had their heads spinning were a Republican in office.

After the last few years of arguing with various lefties about Obama I am convinced that there is absolutely nothing that the president can do that could possibly lead them to criticize, much less cease to support him. They have too much emotionally invested in our president to be able to apply any objective measures of his performance. In fact, I would argue that there is no act so egregious that could push the left to fail to turn to his defense. I truly believe that if, at a campaign stop today, Obama were to defecate on the Constitution and clean his posterior with the American flag the left’s defense would go something like this:

  • Pooping on the Constitution and wiping with the Old Glory is “The New Patriotism!”
  • Obama would be hailed by the talking heads in the press for having the courage to introduce this new form of showing his love for America
  • The press would wag their fingers at Mitt Romney for politicizing this issue by attacking the president at a time when the country needs to rally behind him
  • David Axelrod will push out a meme that “Paul Ryan is against pooping!” and we would instantly have leftist think tanks providing studies showing how there will be an increase in rashes in the US under the Ryan plan.
  • Chris Matthews will be shaking his head about the fact that some shades of excrement may be similar to the president’s own skin color, which of course means that criticism of him can only be… racist. Of course, statements like that are only to compensate for the inherent racism of the left.

*Profanity warning – there is some rough language in the next paragraph (in italics). As I mentioned the one other time I did this in a political post, I avoid profanity in my blog since it focuses attention on the cuss words rather than my point, but sometimes it’s the best way to make your point. Like now. Feel free to skip ahead one paragraph if said language offends.

This is the part where conservatives can only shake their heads in disbelief when you want to get in their faces and scream, “The only reason we are talking about this is because Obama just took a shit on the Constitution and wiped his ass with the American flag!!! What the Hell is wrong with you that you can’t see this?!?” Never mind. Bad economy? Burning embassy? Lies about a promise to close Guantanamo? Whatever – hope and change, hope and change.

So we have Obama starting out with a blindly loyal, unconditional base of nearly half of the country. What could stop Obama from getting re-elected? I had been arguing for a while that only two things could have accomplished this, regardless of opponent: Either two 9-11 scale attacks on the US or a terrorist attack with the magnitude to leave a city in the US uninhabitable. If there was one 9-11 in the US the country would rally around Obama as it did with Bush – a second would kill even the press’ ability to protect Obama. An attack that destroys a city would have the same effect – even the press couldn’t find away to deflect blame from the president. Hopefully nobody reading this thinks that what I just wrote would be a good idea – if you need me to explain why there’s nothing I say could make you see sense anyway.

Where does all of this leave us? I see Obama having spent the last four years of campaigning with a heavier dose at the end convincing enough people to elect him. Yes, I’ve watched both campaigns, Obama’s missteps, most of the debates, and I’ve seen the polls. I just can’t get past the fact that campaigning and winning elections (or having them handed to him) is the one things that the president does well and I believe he will do it again on November 6th.

And yet…

I can’t ignore the very disciplined, methodical campaign that Romney has run since the primaries. While Obama threw everything he had at Romney over the summer Mitt resisted the natural instinct to spend heavily to counter the president’s paid propaganda on commercials and unpaid propaganda in the media. The blogosphere and Twitterverse have been relentless in attacking Obama’s many missteps, another very un-Obama like tendency while campaigning. That’s still not enough to convince me that Romney has a chance of winning, so what did?

During the 2008 democratic primaries Jeff Greenfield over at Salon.com wrote an entertaining piece called “Bugs Bunny vs. Daffy Duck – Why voters always choose the wascally wabbit for president.” Obviously this wasn’t the most scientific article, but it made enough of an impression that I still remember it today. The article compared the candidates in the last few presidential elections and the one who kept his cool like Bugs Bunny would end up winning, while the one who lost his composure and acted a little bit goofy like Daffy Duck wound up on the losing end. This was his basis for predicting Obama would win the primary race against Clinton – click on the article, as it’s well worth five minutes of your time. When did I see the parallel today?

Over the summer as Obama and the press relentlessly assaulted Romney he kept his cool. Reporters showing their lack of professionalism by screaming at him outside the Tomb of the Unknowns in Poland? Romney ignored them. And endless chorus of libelous accusations over Romney’s tax returns as if the American people are more concerned with how a private citizen spends his own money versus how the president is spending theirs? Romney just munched on his carrot. The clincher for me though, came in the final debate. Obama had already looked somewhat “Daffy” over the summer, with idiotic campaign themes like “The Life of Julia” or “Lady Parts”. But in the third debate, the contrast couldn’t be more clear. After the pounding he took in the first debate knew he had to come out swinging and swinging hard. He was furious in his attacks, while Romney remained calm and even congenial toward the president. While Obama was generally scored as the winner based on points and punches landed, that didn’t seem to be Romney’s objective for this debate. When people stood back and looked at how the non-talking head set viewed the debate most people saw Romney as the calm, collected, and more importantly, more presidential compared to an angry and petulant Obama. You could almost see the president pulling the duck bill that had spun to the back of his head from an exploding cigar, setting it straight on the front of his face and hissing at Romney “Youuurrrr’e DesPICable!”

I still haven’t decided yet if I’m going to go on a media blackout on presidential election night as I did for the last two elections or not. I still believe I’ll wake up on Wednesday morning with Obama as president for the many reasons I gave, but where there are Bugs and Daffy, there is hope.

Of course, this could have all been avoided and the GOP could be gearing up for a landslide had it had the sense to nominate the one man worthy of getting the all important endorsement of Brother Bob’s Blog. Unfortunately, the US Constitution prohibits citizens born in the land of Westeros from becoming president. I am of course, referring to none other than the great Stannis Baratheon!

Cross Posted from Brother Bob’s Blog

Blogging by the credo of "Making the world a more offensive place, one blog post at a time", Brother Bob started writing posts around the beginning of the Obama presidency over at Brother Bob's Blog. A born-again Existentialist and self-professed libertarian with conservative tendencies, he has ironically chosen to live in the Washington, DC area - deep behind enemy lines. He has always loved history, and spent eight years volunteering as a tour guide on weekends, giving over 200 tours to roughly 2,500 mostly foreign guests. His tours were highlighted by stories generally not found in the history books or most other tours, such as the importance of the Battle if Antietam, the origins or Arlington Cemetery, and dispelling the myths of FDR's New Deal. Although his favorite subject to blog about is Economics, as seen in his Economics for Politicians series, his posts try to address angles that other conservative writers and the mainstream media (naturally!) miss. "There's no point in putting up a post on a subject that someone smarter than me has already written". He believes in the "Happy Warrior" approach, and tries to inject humor in his posts, sometimes successfully. Two such examples are his posts comparing the modern left to the horrible Star Wars prequels, and analyzing the laments of a DC woman in search of a feminist boyfriend. Brother Bob lives with his very patient wife known as Sister Babe, and their fantastic son. Little Bob. Little Bob is also the reason that being a tour guide came to an end, as spending Saturdays raising a son takes priority over giving lectures to foreign visitors on the folly of Keynesian economics. BB is also grateful for the opportunity to take his place among the outstanding writers at Flopping Aces, appreciates every person who takes the time to read his posts, and especially those who join him in the conversation in the comments.

9 Responses to “Why Obama Will Win the Election – And One Reason to Believe he Won’t [Reader Post]”

  1. 1


    Who is voting for Mitt Romney? AKA: Let’s save America because we can!

    Catholics – who have been challenged by Obama in their faith and beliefs. They have been running a vast nationwide campaign, along with millions of other Christians, to vote overwhelmingly for Romney.
    Blacks – who are against same-sex marriages as being immoral and who have suffered most from Obama’s failures.
    Whites – who see that Blacks are voting for Obama because he’s Black; Whites will vote for Whites.
    Republicans – none of which voted for Obamacare.
    Tea Party followers – who like in 2010 are throwing out Liberals and RHINOS again. And, here they come in every state of the union to do a 2010-style get-out-the-vote in 2012 for Romney/Ryan.
    Coal Miners – who are taking Obama’s threats to end coal mining in America seriously. Coal mining is their livelihood and they are going to the polls to vote ROMNEY.
    Vehicle drivers – those who are faced with TWICE the cost of gas since Obama took office.
    Jobless workers – those who have been waiting for Obama to create jobs, but he hasn’t; many job-seekers have left the job market. Millions are underemployed and have taken lower wager. Fight Obama!
    Stock and Bond holders – many of whom were shafted when GM and Chrysler went bankrupt. Obama gave preference to unions and left bond-holders with nothing.
    Small Business owners – who have repeatedly been ignored by Obama. They favor Romney and are waiting to grow their businesses in an environment that is favorable to business.
    Citizens against Obamacare – because of the upcoming increase in taxes and excessive regulation if Obamacare is not repealed.
    Jewish folks – because Obama has not visited Israel even once since taking office; and Obama’s bad attitude toward Israel. An overwhelming majority in Israel favor Romney. A major NY Jewish newspaper has endorsed Romney for President.
    Hispanics – those who know that Obama’s failure to create sufficient jobs is hurting the U.S. economy in a bad way. And Obama’s bad policies have raised gas and food prices; Hispanics shop, too! Many support Romney now.
    Business people – millions who are hesitant to grow because of the vast uncertainty due to Obama and Obamacare.
    Workers – facing layoffs, underemployment and a worsening economy; lower wages.
    Shoppers – those who see prices rising and product size shrinking; inventories reduced.
    Concerned Citizens – who see the Benghazi incident as an Obama failure and even treasonous (un-American).
    Concerned Citizens – who see Obama’s foreign policies as dangerous and failures.
    Persons of Faith – who recognize Obama’s forcing provision by them of contraception to employees as Constitutional violations.
    Gun owners – who have always been against the extreme liberal ideas Obama has for gun control.
    Local government officials – who see Obama’s federal encroachment as unacceptable.
    Truckers – who see the high price of gas as an attack on their livelihood.
    Oil business – that reject Obama’s curbs on off-shore drilling.
    Oil industry workers – that recognize the Keystone pipeline as Obama’s failure to encourage jobs and job growth.
    Americans – who view Obama’s encouragement of high oil prices and lowered U.S. oil production as favoring OPEC and Arabs.
    Concerned Congressmen – those that recognize that Obama has no cogent foreign policy, which could prove to be dangerous.
    Homeowners – who have seen their life saving and equity go down the drain because Obama has done nothing on the economy.
    Health care providers – doctors and others who see Obamacare as a threat to their income; and harmful extreme regulations that take medical decision-making away from doctors and gives it to bureaucrats.
    Concerned citizens – that are very concerned about the U.S. deficit and Obama’s extreme radical uncontrolled spending.
    Others – concerned about Obama’s illegal activities, Fast and Furious, Benghazi, not defending DOMA, condoning illegal aliens.
    Abortion foes – object to Obama’s callous lack of concern for the unborn and Obama’s radical third trimester abortion views.
    Concerned Americans – who have been outright lied to by Obama when he claimed his administration would be transparent.
    Car manufacturers – those that have seen car sales drop with Obama’s bad economy and economic policies hurting sales.
    Housing developers – who like many others have seen the Obama economy cripple home construction and lower profits.
    Mormons – who support Mitt Romney as a person of faith, good character, and honest principles.
    Economists – that have expressed encouragement that Romney’s experience and knowledge will lead to true hope and results.
    Military – seeing that Obama’s cuts will endanger their ability to protect our country.
    Independents – who already have provided a surge for Romney, are convinced that the past 4 years of Obama is enough.
    Evangelicals – who organized the largest get-out-the-vote for conservatism ever, in their concerted effort to defeat Obama.
    Conservatives – a majority in U.S., are pushing hard to take the Senate, Presidency and House for the good of America.
    Skeptics – who 4 years ago were duped into believing in Obama’s Hope and Change that eventually came to nothing, just lies.
    Disillusioned Democrats – who have been utterly disappointed in Obama and will not vote for Obama or not vote at all.
    and millions, millions more against Obama and his lies and failures.
    And, YES. Many State and Federal workers support Romney because they have FAMILY members that need jobs; fathers, mothers, sons, daughters, nieces, nephews, cousins, aunts, uncles, grandma and grandpa — they are suffering, too, from Obama’s failure to create adequate numbers of good-paying jobs.

    Vote Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan. Let’s make America strong and great again because we can!

  2. 2


    My many discussions with Obama supporters has taught me that they can not see anything wrong with anything that Obama has done simply because they will not.
    If Obama bin Soreto stood in the middle of a busy intersection, raped a nine-year-old girl, dismembered her with a hunting knife and began munching on her flesh, liberals would turn their heads and begin shouting “LALALA” to cover the screams of the dying girl.
    Later, if the subject came up, they would say;
    “I was there, I didn’t see anything!”
    “Your sources aren’t credible!”
    “You’re a racist!”
    “That’s an old story! It’s been debunked! See (reference to some equally blind liberal blog)!”
    Or: (Do you see it coming?)
    “The Gubbimint needs to ban hunting knives!”

    I am so sick of this POS POTUS and his willfully blind supporters.

  3. 3


    @Petercat, #2:

    Telling a story like that certainly reveals a difference between the right and the left, though not the difference that you imagine.

    The average democrat’s view of Barack Obama’s first term as President differs dramatically from that of the average republican. Where republicans see only deficiencies, democrats see what Rachel Maddow described tonight as A Presidency of Historic Consequence. She quickly summarized what has been accomplished, for anyone who might wonder about the nature of that differing view.

    These things matter. So do the things that have yet to be accomplished. History will reveal what was right for the nation. I feel very comfortable about that judgement.

  4. 4


    Thanks for the link, Greg, sadly I have satellite internet which limits my download totals, so I cannot watch a sixteen-minute video without depleting my allowance.
    I do not believe that what I said in my comment above applies to every liberal, of course. I do exaggerate for effect.
    Nor do I believe that that attitude is sole property of liberals.
    But, in my encounters I have heard far more liberals use insulting and abusive language to those who disagree. Of course, that could be because I spend more time in liberal bastions than in conservative ones (coffee shops, bookstores). I guess it’s different when you’re not face-to-face with your opponent.
    Sort of like people in cars being more rude than in person. Insulated by steel and glass, insulated by a keyboard, not much difference.
    Or meeting the most polite people on a firing range.
    But. Many conservatives, myself among them, were very free with our criticism of President Bush when we disagreed with him, we are free with our criticism of President Obama, and we will be free with our criticism of President Romney. I’ve never been attacked by another conservative for criticizing a conservative politician… Getting off the reservation, so to speak.
    But look what happens when a liberal gets off the reservation… or someone expected to be a liberal, like Stacey Dash.
    We should not be attacked for any of it.
    I still remember, during Bush I, Hillary Clinton standing up and saying, “We have a right to disagree with the President!
    Then during her husband’s Presidency, saying “You cannot call yourself a patriot if you disagree with the President!”
    My first thought was “Woman, you don’t have the authority to tell me whether or not I can call myself a patriot…”
    Liberal…conservative…let’s talk. Just leave out the hypocrisy of a Clinton and the personal attacks.
    It’s cool, Greg.

  5. 6


    I will do my best here to offend Lib1, Greg, and all other Obama drones on this thread.
    Folk follow, believe in, and support Obama because he is a religious figure. Or, perhaps, religious figurehead. He excels at giving prepared speeches to selected audiences.
    He does not negotiate. He does not bargain. He does not compromise.
    He is the Leader who will lead us to paradise.
    Because he is believed in with religious fervor, one gets the same result by disagreeing with his supporters that one gets by disagreeing with a Muslim Jihadist. Namely: you are wrong, I will kill you.
    Disagreement with the One is heresy, and punishable by death.
    Faith in the One is not based on who he is, what he has done, or what he proposes. Faith in the One is based solely on an unsupported leap of faith. One believes him because he is the One. He said so.
    He makes promises and breaks them. He does not produce a budget. He does not suggest legislation He does not supervise his cabinet. He does not even attend Daily Intelligence Briefs.
    When the Embassy in Benghazi was under attack, he went to bed, having a hot visit in Las Vegas to rest up for.
    Suggest that he has not acted, and one is accused of racism. Point out the failures on his watch, and one is accused of being hard-hearted.
    State that the One is a giant statue with feet of clay, and one is denounced as being sub-human.

    Give me a break. Obama is not God. And never will be.

  6. 7

    Nan G

    I never thought of the Dems in the House and Senate as brave….but they did defy Obama over and over again by not voting for any of his budgets.
    Didn’t Obama submit budgets that got ZERO votes?
    No Dem on top of no Republicans?

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