Tony Hayward Was Right. Rush Limbaugh Was Right. Everyone Else Was Wrong [Reader Post]

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Early in May, Rush Limbaugh said that the Gulf oil spill would resolve on its own:

“You do survive these things. I’m not advocating don’t care about it hitting the shore or coast and whatever you can do to keep it out of there is fine and dandy, but the ocean will take care of this on its own if it was left alone and was left out there,” Limbaugh said. “It’s natural. It’s as natural as the ocean water is.”

This was met with scorn, of course:

“But this spill is of very large dimensions. And the capacity of any natural system has its limits. The oil is in a form that makes it very destructive when it gets to shore… You’re left with residue that is goopy and floats. It’s a story of mousse. If it hits a marsh, or shore, or the beach, it gloms on to everything. We’ve all seem images of birds caught up and it’s devastating to them,” he said.

And then poor Tony Hayward made his prediction:

‘The Gulf of Mexico is a very big ocean,’ he said. ‘The volume of oil and dispersant we are putting into it is tiny in relation to the total water volume.’

And he promised they’d fix it:

“We will fix it. I guarantee it,’ he said. ‘The only question is we do not know when.’

He was severely criticized for those words:

Greenpeace reacted angrily to the comments – saying that BP could not ‘fix’ an oil spill.
Its scientist Rick Steiner said: ‘You can’t effectively clean up a major marine oil spill. It just can’t happen anywhere.

‘This whole mythology that we can respond to a spill is just that – mythology. The genie is out of the bottle.’

And then the truth began to emerge as the oil vanished:

For 86 days, oil spewed into the Gulf of Mexico from BP’s damaged well, dumping some 200 million gallons of crude into sensitive ecosystems. BP and the federal government have amassed an army to clean the oil up, but there’s one problem — they’re having trouble finding it.

Slowly, the realization began to seep into the minds of the media:

But now, 16 days after the leak was finally stopped, scientists are coming forward to suggest that perhaps BP boss Tony Hayward may have been right after all.
Oil from the well is clearing from the sea surface much faster than scientists expected.

And the money line:

Indeed, some are asking whether the original threat was actually exaggerated.

Golly, who could want a political advantage from this disaster??

As my colleagues Campbell Robertson, Justin Gillis and I reported on reaction, scientific and otherwise, to a government report on the fate of the oil in the gulf, it emerged that the Obama administration faced something of a credibility gap in conveying its findings to some gulf residents, environmental groups and even scientists.

There were plenty of varied opinions out there, of course. But what came through loud and clear in the interviews I conducted was how leery many were of pronouncements by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the government agency charged with monitoring the health of the waters and the climate.

(H/T Instapundit)

The oil spill crisis is over.

The well no longer gushes: It is capped, top-killed, and cemented, and within a few weeks it will be finished off with the coup de grace of bottom kill, at which point we can expect the administration to declare victory. At least three-quarters of the leaked oil is already gone. While some has been burned or captured, most — per the predictions of former BP CEO Tony Hayward — has been devoured and rendered harmless by the Gulf’s uniquely ravenous bacterial ecosystem, which has been digesting natural oil seeps for millennia. This isn’t administration spin; it’s reality.

The same incompetent NOAA which made ridiculous predictions about the oil spill covering most of the Earth now claims credit for the end of the crisis:

Crediting what the agency calls “the robust federal response efforts,” the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) reports that at least one-third (33 percent) of the leaked oil has been removed by burning, skimming, chemical dispersion and direct recovery from the wellhead, all overseen by the government’s Unified Command team.

But as Lou Dolinar notes, NOAA has had to eat its computer model:

Also in the last two weeks, most of the wildest stories have been laid to rest, although some scientists (and the media outlets that quote them) seem reluctant admit it. NR will be looking at the more embarrassing details, but here’s the bottom line: NOAA retracted the outlandish computer model that showed the spill covering thousands of square miles from the Gulf to the east coast as far north as New England.

Let me be clear (sound of me chortling):

The blame for this oil spill may be placed at the feet of many, BP included. But in the end, capping of the well and stopping the leak was all BP. And they are cleaning up the Gulf as they promised.

I continue to feel bad for Tony Hayward. He was right all along. So was Limbaugh, and that is going to gnaw at the guts of Democrats everywhere. (more sounds of me LMAO) Barack Obama and everyone else was wrong.

So this is a good news post all around.

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Now is the time to follow the money. Where is the big escrow account? Who is charge of it? How much is left?

Dollars to doughnuts the bulk ends up in Dem pockets.

The fact that the media was barred from the gulf coast, was to keep them from seeing what wasn’t there. They kept the airspace closed to over flight, WHY? I think we are beginning to find out, also remember they kept saying all the oil was submerged. Well tell me how a substance lighter than water doesn’t rise to the surface? Underwater oil my aunt Fannie. Now this doesn’t mean there was no damage done, on the contrary, just not 25% as bad has they tried to make it appear. We can’t trust our own government with these clowns in charge.

I would have titled, “Tony Hayward Was Right. Rush Was Right. Everybody Else Are Clueless!”

Much of the oil was simply rendered invisible by the application of an average of 140,000 pounds of toxic chemical dispersant per day throughout the first 104 days of the spill. 14 million pounds of Corexit, applied to around 5 million barrels of oil. Best estimates are that half of the oil spilled is still out there, finely dispersed.

‘The Gulf of Mexico is a very big ocean,’ he (Hayward) said. ‘The volume of oil and dispersant we are putting into it is tiny in relation to the total water volume.’

It would be nice to believe that what you can’t see can’t hurt you. Unfortunately, that’s a dangerous assumption that’s been proven wrong any number of times.

Nobody really knows yet what the long-term damages are going to be.

>>Well tell me how a substance lighter than water doesn’t rise to the surface?>>

I’ve been having a problem with this as well…”Plumes of oil under the surface…” ok…_how_ does that happen? and why isn’t anybody in the MSM asking _how_ this happens? Is it because of the dispersant? I don’t know – but I sure wish somebody would ask…

I mean “somebody” that somebody else would feel they had to answer…! Seems like it just gets ignored.

The satellite photos showed that oil on the surface simply did not get very far from the well before disappearing. The oil is *not* still there as magic invisible evil capitalist pollutant visible only to the eyes of the properly anointed priesthood. It is gone. It did some damage for a while, but when the well was capped, end of story. Rush was smarter than ten thousand “ecology” PhDs

Any important lessons that should have been learned from all of this are probably going to be methodically dispersed as well.

Maybe the EPA should start checking the environment for something that affects our attention span.

Maybe the model they should have paid more attention to was that of the 1979 Yucatan oil spill. After two years everything was mostly back to normal there thanks to the oil-eating bacteria in the water that takes care of cleaning up oil seepage from the ocean floor. The wild card here seems to be the wide use of dispersants, since they were not used as much in the Yucatan. Like Greg said: “Nobody really knows yet what the long-term damages are going to be.” Hopefully, the Gulf will bounce back as quickly as it did before.

Sorry, I’m not buying into the claim that all that oil has magically disappeared. Just because you can’t currently see the 800 pound gorilla in the room, doesn’t mean it isn’t there. It could be lurking behind you.

“Sorry, I’m not buying into the claim that all that oil has magically disappeared. Just because you can’t currently see the 800 pound gorilla in the room, doesn’t mean it isn’t there. It could be lurking behind you.”

We were told “disaster”. Now we are told “magic invisible disaster that only high priests officially anointed with PhD’s in holy ecology can see.”

As BP explained, the ocean is full of organisms that eat oil and shit asphalt. The asphalt falls to the bottom, solving the problem.

@Ditto

The vast majority of the oil has been broken down because of what’s called “vapor pressure”.

Oil, especially the light, sweet crude turns into a gas when heated, just like water does when it boils at 212F @ sea-level…or when simply left in a bowel on a warm day, which is called “phase transition”, because the top-most water molecules (or any liquid) are now in contact with the air (or other medium) and is slowly absorbed into it, depending on surface-area contact. Additionally, one can make any liquid boil at room temp, simply by reducing the 14Lbs/in of air “above” it, as in a vacuum chamber.

The water temp in that area of the gulf is very warm, approaching 80 degreesF. At that temp, the oil has a hard time turning into tarballs, and in-fact, dissipates into it’s molecular components. These components are readily digested by the bacteria, which has evolved to do just that, because the natural seepage that happens there, has been going on for millions of years. The dispersants that BP was injecting into the very bottom of the “plume” helped this process along tremendously. The vapor pressure of oil is much less than water, and is why it burns easily, and water does not.

The other point, is that oil was not the only thing coming out of the broken pipe. Huge amount of water, sand, dirt, and methane came up with it, and is why any number given for oil-amount, is bound to be very wrong. We can guess the ratios by sampling what’s coming out, but it is not like a tanker where what’s in it is pure oil.

A.

No PHd was used in this short dissertation. 😉

Toothfairy: hi, I wonder about thoses BACTERIES, where do they come from, are they remaining in the water after dinner, and could they evolve to want to eat humans oil or any animals ,whales
and fish oil; I have read that BACTERIES constantly EVOLVE. bye

@Beez

Tout d’abord permet cela décomposer en ses mandants, l’huile et micro-organismes. L’huile est une source d’énergie pour nous, humains, mais nous ne considérons pas comme un aliment. C’est un aliment?. Ainsi, nous considérons alimentaires tels que sucres etc.. mais la différence entre ces composés et le pétrole brut est essentiellement non- existantes, ils sont tous deux sont énergie et riche de carbone. Simplement parce que nous ne pouvons pas utiliser pétrole brut (n’oubliez pas que nous pouvons utiliser les autres huiles, comme l’huile d’olive comme sources d’énergie) nous disparaître comme pas un aliment. Quel est donc de pétrole brut ? It�s bien un mélange très compliqué d’une grande variété de carbone composés de cycliques hydrocarbures polycycliques (benzène, napthalenes etc.) à des composés aliphatiques chained droites comme heptane et l’indice d’octane. Nous ses toxiques, à un certain nombre de micro-organismes sa juste comme des bonbons. Donc comment les microorganismes peuvent utilisent et nous impossible ? Bien ça tombe en panne à l’évolution, la diversité et de la biochimie. Micro-organismes sont un groupe très diversifié. Les animaux et les plantes sont presque identiques à une autre lorsque vous comparez des micro-organismes comment différents sont. Ils ont été sur cette planète milliards de 3 ans, en tant que l’homme seulement 1 millions. Ils se sont adaptés (évolué) à utiliser tous les éléments nutritifs disponibles qu’ils peuvent et certaines espèces individuels (Pseudomonas) peut utiliser jusqu’à 1000 carbone différents composés. Ce qu’ils font avec l’huile ? Bien au fond ils mangent il comme vous mangez des céréales. Ils utilisent des enzymes pour désagréger (il métaboliser) à l’aide de O2 transformant en CO2 et micro-organismes plus. It�s les enzymes initiales qui sont particulières. Ils décomposent les substituants de pétrole en plus petites molécules qui peuvent entrer métabolisme central. Métabolisme central puis achemine ces produits chimiques pour rendre l’énergie et de matériaux pour les nouvelles cellules (c’est même comme vous l’avez). Il y a trois ans, que j’ai été heureux de répondre à l’une des personnes qui ont utilisé des micro-organismes pour nettoyer l’Exxon Valdez déversement. Les plages traitées avec des micro-organismes ont été nettoyés beaucoup plus efficacement et plus rapidement que le %20.

PATVANN : MERCI et je dois vous dire que votre FRANCAIS est meilleure que plusieurs d’entre nous: I again admire your superior knowledge on so many subject, and I appreciate you coming down to my level of knowledge; I much appreciate your being so gracefull. thank you, bye

PATVANN: est ce que ces BONBONS vont grossir apres leur diner, et devenir tres gros et dangereux pour les baleines et l’humain dans l’eau,
I realy like the word ” BONBONs, bye
I like bonbons too

@Beez

LOL! 🙂 We had better hope that they run out of bonbons very soon! 😆

PATVANN: hi, NOW that you mention it, I’ll buy some bonbons,
NEXT chance I go in town; I dont think of buying bonbons,when I do my groceries, I very seldom eat bonbons
Thank’s for the reminder, it’s on my list now .

and Patvann: I just noticed comments #12-17 and I’m ROTFL! Regretfully, my two years of college French were completed many, many moons ago. I can no longer speak or write it, but, fortunately, I can still read it. Patvann I bow before your superior scientific knowledge and your ability to explain it in simple terms. Bees, I love your sense of humor and will eat a bonbon in your honor!

@Toothfairy

Thank you, kind madam!

…isn’t a toothfairy eating bonbons against union rules or something? 😉

#19: Not as long as you brush and floss afterwards!

TOOTHFAIRY: thank you , enjoye your bonbon,and think of thoses who have a escalating craving for a bonbon, bye

Bees: Satisfy that craving. Just insert a chocolate bonbon at the front end and shake your Ricky Martin bonbon at the other. It’ll all even out!

ToothFairy: good Idea, I’ll do that. bye. well I dont have chocolate bonbon,
I’ll just pretend,

ToothFairy: hi, I dont understand this part of “shake your RICKY MARTIN BONBON at the end.
would you say it again, Idont know who ricky martin is, never heard of this person,
and what he represent, stupid of me
bye

Bees: Ricky Martin is a famous Latino singer from Puerto Rico. One of his biggest hits was a song titled “Shake Your Bon-Bon.” It means “shake your behind to the rhythm of the music” (dance)! Another of his biggest hits was “Livin’ La Vida Loca.”

ToothFairy: hi, thank’s for explaining, I appreciate: FUNNY how A single word can travel in many diffrents meaning, bye good day, did you eat your bonbon yet.

From comment 11 on down, thanks Pat, Toothfairy and Beez! Still catching up and glad I didn’t miss the cute back and forth as well as Pat’s explanation.

MISSY: hi, JUST like “EENY-MEENY-MINEY-moe, of yours. bye I love it.

@Patvann:

Well, I’m not gonna try and talk in your fancy pants Frenchy French sort of way… 😉 …but here is an article I found interesting regarding oil, water, bacteria, and such.

@Aye
That was very good! Even learned some more stuff!
Thanx!

#26: I ate it, but I still have to shake it!

ToothFairy; hi, shame on you, WHEN I go in town, I’ll look for RICK MARTIN’CD,
now I’m waiting for READER DIGEST to send me the cd of ANDRE RIEU, superb
music of the AUSTRIAN’S waltz,with an orchestra all dressed up in long waltsing dresses
PERFORMING in a castle. bye

ToothFairy, I forgot to say, DID you see the link of AYE CHIHUAHUA on the bacterie?

: Rieu is very entertaining. He’s the Ricky Martin of waltz.

Yes, I did read the link Aye provided, and I found it fascinating. The idea of the surface of the water as a biofilm reminded me of the old surface tension experiment from high school — floating a straight pin on top of a cup of water. But I never imagined that an oil spill in the ocean would be seen as an “opportunity” for the bacteria living there to party down!

ToothFairy: YOU have mention YUCATAN spill previously,IT seems that they found that BACTERIE’s work, very lately, am I right. bye

ilovebeeswarzone: Yes, in fact they were amazed how quickly the area recovered. Although there was an initial negative impact on wildlife, etc., within two years it was almost back to normal. I can’t believe we didn’t hear more about it at the time, but I guess it didn’t fit in with the lefty environmentalists’ agenda.

ToothFairy, yes you’r right, thank you.bye…you earn another bonbon,.

TOOTHFAIRY,
PATVANN,
MISSY,
WHERE ARE YOU NOW, THAT WAS AUGUST 2010, AND
aye thank you for the so interesting link
here I COME FROM 2ND OF MAY 2010, AND Iead all these comments
after the SMART POST OF DrJohn, and I really enjoyed reading it again, PATVANN YOU MY PATTON COMMANDER GAVE ME A LESSON OF THE HIGH GRADED SCIENCE, HOW IS THE BACTERIES EVOLVED NOW AT THIS TIME?
DID THEY STAYED ON THE SURFACE FILM OR DIVED IN THE DEEP, TO CONTINUE FEEDING ON OIL FROM THE BOTTOM PLUS OIL FROM THE DEAD WHALE AND SUCH OCEAN ANIMALS ALONG WITH DEAD BIRDS FEEDING FROM THE FISH,? and hope JOHN IS OKAY, I’m thinking of them and their sacrifice for AMERICA, HOPE AMERICA DESRVE SUCH GIANTS AND SHOW IT IN NOVEMBER OF THIS 2012, COMING SOON, AMERICANS OWE IT TO THEM.
TOOTHFAIRY, I did learned to eat a bonbon while shaking my rick martin, lots of fun and keep the shape where she should be,
MISSY, by geez do you still feed the CANADIAN GEESE AND SEE THE FLYING COYOTEES AROUND?
I do miss you all, and glad to be here once again.

oops oops MY ERROR, to you all I COME FROM 2ND OF MAY 2012
I HAVE SAID 2010 THAT’S WHERE I found you all.