You got to love the careful wording of this article:
Average temperatures in areas such as California and France may drop over the next 10 years, influenced by colder flows in the North Atlantic, said a report today by the institution based in Kiel, Germany. Temperatures worldwide may stabilize in the period.
The study was based on sea-surface temperatures of currents that move heat around the world, and vary from decade to decade. This regional cooling effect may temporarily neutralize the long- term warming phenomenon caused by heat-trapping greenhouse gases building up around the earth, said Richard Wood, a research scientist at the Met Office Hadley Centre, a U.K. provider of environmental and weather-related services…
“If we don’t experience warming over the next 10 years, it doesn’t mean that greenhouse-gas warming is not with us,” [Noel] Keenlyside said in an interview. “There can be natural fluctuations that may mask climate change in the short term.”…
“Natural variations over the next 10 years might be heading in the cold direction,” Wood said. “If you run the model long enough, eventually global warming will win.”…
“We thought a lot about the way to present this because we don’t want it to be turned around in the wrong way,” Keenlyside said. “I hope it doesn’t become a message of Exxon Mobil and other skeptics.”
Yup, they sure don’t want their industry to go away….lots of money to be made selling carbon credits and other bulls&^t. I mean its not like the man-made global warming crowd is missing anything like, say, for instance….solar activity, water vapor and the like.
But still, as long as you run the computer model long enough…global warming will win.
UPDATE
Climate Skeptic answers the above argument that all this cooling is just one more step towards warming:
- Catastrophists are spinning that the PDO cool cycles just delay or suppress man-made warming signals. OK. But if you argue this, you have to also argue for the converse — that the PDO exaggerate what might be man-made warming signals during its warm cycles. Catastrophists and in particular the IPCC, however, said that all of the post 1977 warming was due to man – I don’t remember anyone mentioning “PDO” in these discussions (In fact, they argue that some additional warming was being masked). Catastrophists love to point to natural cycles only when they can be claimed to mask man-made warming.
- I am constantly amazed at how much the 1905-1947 trend on this chart looks like the 1977-2005 trend. But here is the amazing thing to me: Catastrophists as well as the IPCC claim that these trends had different causes. In fact, you MUST believe they had different causes to believe the AGW story (since there was little man-made CO2 in the first period). In other words, to belive the catastrophic man-made global warming theory, you have to believe some effect, presumably natural but never identified by the IPCC, drove temperatures through 1947 and then switched off, never to return, at the exact same moment that man began producing CO2 in earnest.
See author page
“If you run the model long enough, eventually global warming will win.”…
What type of time frame are they referring to in this quote – 10,000 years…100,000 years. Given a large enough time frame for this model, it will happen…it is a natural cycle of cooling and warming.
Yep, the PDO change in 1977 from cool to warm ended the 70s ice age scare, and now the PDO change, warm to cool, will end the warming scare. And then if you wait for it, the PDO will bring us back to warming. And the scare will be back. But in the meantime, we can all talk about the coming ice age. Hey is that why it’s called the PDO instead of the alGore get rich quick scheme? I note the scams seems to follow the PDO.
Physics and chemistry aren’t taught in school anymore. But the data, it appears to have overtaken the hoaxers, just like in the 70s.
Notice it is still snowing in the north USA, cold fronts still crosiing the USA, and crops have not been seeded yet … oops.
“Physics and chemistry aren’t taught in school anymore.”
It’s actually been a perfect long term plan. Take over the schools and teach warm & fuzzy, become zombies in front of the television and further numb the mind. Now we get our political and scientific advice from Oprah, The View and MTV. BAAAAA
I think that manbearpig is just going into hibernation and when he comes back, watch out, it will get warmer again.
Can’t remember where I first read this so HT to someone:
“Executive Summary: the UN has facilitated a “fraudulent” market worth tens of billions of dollars that was justified by a critical report; this report was authored by the very project developers and “auditors” who would profit from the report’s publication. This appears to be a major UN scandal that could surpass the Oil-for-Food Program in terms of total economic impact.”
http://tinyurl.com/4vomrk
Tom
You might be a Liberal if:
Iraq is recovering and you are fighting it’s downfall.
People are coming to America for medical care from everywhere and you want to change it to be like theirs.
The world is cooling and you are fighting Global warming.
I was shunned by my lefty friends when I told them Gore was full of crap. Now they don’t want to talk about it.
Man. I’d forget how miserable I am if these guys didn’t regularly remind me!
It is warming up in Oklahoma.
I think it’s called Spring!
I forgot where it actually is at on my blog. But I got a Cartoon that I think isform the New Yorker. But thepremise was that is said “Global Warming, In my days we called it Spring”
The search for Manbearpig continues, but it seems he is in hibernation at the moment.
you global warming deniers are just like the 9/11 deniers
Pretty soon we might here you saying STEEL DOESN”T BURN
You already blame the MSM for not supporting your view.
Me thinks you miss the point, John Ryan. While I can’t speak for anyone else, I am not a “global warming denier”. I am a denier that the earth’s constantly morphing climate conditions are the direct result of man and industry. We are gnats on the butt of an elephant.
Mother Nature’s been doing upheavals prior to us being a glint in her eye. She warms, she cools. Sometimes to extremes. If man were a bright lightbulb, he’d stop trying to fight it, and make accommodations to relocate instead.
And I am absolutely against bankrupting the world, only to accomplish making Gore a richer man. Nothing we do will change the earth’s climate epochs.
Steel doesn’t need to burn… just weaken and/or melt… in order to become unstable, BTW.