Saturday Caucuses/Primaries: Obama Smoking, Hillary Crying, Huckabee Embarrassing McCain.

Luckily for McCain the Louisiana primary ended up having no effect. If Huckabee had gotten 51% of the primary vote he could have locked up some delegates, but with everyone under 50% it’s just a beauty contest. The Washington state caucus victory is almost as useless; those 18 delegates will actually be elected at the state convention in May, and in the unlikely event that there is still doubt about McCain’s nomination at that point it’s likely that Huckabee and Paul could make a deal to freeze out McCain (given his thin margin of victory).

Obama is more dangerous than Hillary. He is more committed to withdrawing the troops from Iraq immediately, he is supported by muslim groups, and his inexperience combined with having to stay SOMEWHAT true to his rhetoric if elected will lead him to do irretrievable damage to the United States. Also don’t forget that his Senate campaign was largely financed and supported by Soros. His habit of not saying anything but saying it well doesn’t bode well for a good outcome. This weird election season is leading us towards a very unpleasant outcome. Unfortunately, the electorate has gotten too “innocent” because they have not seen ANYONE’S policies result in widespread devastation in a long time. I just saw Eisenhower’s granddaughter come out in support of Obama because he will unify the country. I’m afraid America is about to lose it’s naivite.

Mike I actually don’t think it’s possible to predict who is more difficult to beat. While today the polls favor Obama, he is a mirage and he also attracts some of the Republican crossover anti-Hillary vote. If it’s McCain vs. Obama, I think it depends more on the factors we can’t fully predict today (like McCain’s health or foreign policy developments) and how well the Obama mirage can withstand the passage of time and the lack of a Democratic opponent. Also, Bill Clinton and those who interpreted his “fightin’ words” to benefit Obama has radicalized Obama’s base. What will happen to all of that by the end of summer is anyone’s guess.