Jan

Live Blog/Chat for Florida GOP Results

Posted by: Mike's America @ 3:45 pm in Politics

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Join us tonight for Florida results LIVE, starting at 7:45 PM EST, 4:45 PM PST!

Current GOP Delegate Tally

From Real Clear Politics:

Romney-59
Huckabee-40
McCain-36
Paul-4
Giuliani-1
(source: AP, Wash Post, ABC News & RCP)

Florida is a “winner take all” state where all of Florida’s 57 delegates will be awarded in this “closed” primary (only those identifying themselves as Republicans may vote — unless they are Independents who demand the right to vote for McCain).

And the winner from Florida will set the stage for Super Tuesday on February 5 with the following states and delegates:

California: (click state name for latest polling) will award 173 delegates in a closed primary. But delegates will be apportioned, not winner take all.
New York: 101 winner take all closed primary.
Georgia: 72 open primary.
Illinois: 70 open primary.
Missouri: 58 open winner take all primary.
Tennessee: 55 open primary.
Arizona: 53 closed winner take all primary.
New Jersey: 52 open winner take all primary.
Alabama: 48
Colorado: 46 Closed
Massachusetts: 43
Minnesota: 41
Oklahoma: 41 Closed
Utah: 36 Winner take all
Arkansas: 34
Connecticut: 30 Winner take all, Closed
West Virginia: 30
Alaska: 29 Closed
North Dakota: 26
Montana: 25 Winner take all
Delaware: 18 Winner take all, Closed

That’s 1081 delegates awarded on Super Tuesday. 373 will be awarded in winner take all contests. 558 delegates will be awarded in later primaries.

1,191 delegates are needed to win.

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This entry was posted on Tuesday, January 29th, 2008 at 3:45 pm and is filed under Politics. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

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6 comments so far

David

A note on Colorado - the Feb 5 caucuses (both Dem and GOP) are informal and closed. Independents who want to participate had to declare party affiliation no later than January 5. (No exceptions.) Whoever “wins” the caucuses doesn’t necessarily win the most delegates. If this sounds like, “Huh? …,” that’s the way we do things here in backwards Colorado.

If there is anything I do not like at all the Republican primary season is the desire to eliminate their two best candidates - Fred and Rudy, and settle for second best.

January 29th, 2008 at 11:57 am

Curt

In the city of Naples, Collier County, they have some early results:

Republican presidential primary

• Mitt Romney - 119
• John McCain - 80
• Rudy Giuliani - 42
• Mike Huckabee - 22
• Fred Thompson – 3
• Ron Paul - 5

Democratic presidential primary

• Hillary Clinton - 63
• John Edwards - 16
• Barack Obama - 22
• Joe Biden - 2

January 29th, 2008 at 1:59 pm

Curt

Even more:

The first wave of exit poll numbers, including absentees: McCain 34.3 percent, Romney 32.6 percent, Giuliani 15.3 percent, Huckabee 12 percent.

And:

I’m now hearing that absentees made up one third of the total vote (this is from the source who believed the numbers were the first wave) and the absentees preferred Romney, 34 percent to 28 percent. Giuliani is described as “far behind.”

January 29th, 2008 at 3:32 pm

Curt

More from Rich Lowry:

McCain 33, Romney 32?

That’s what’s going around as the early exits. If you haven’t voted, get out and do it—every vote might really count down there. I asked a friend (not supporting anyone) if Romney still has a chance if that exit poll is accurate: “Oh yes. That’s well within the margin of error. Plus, the final wave isn’t in, and often late voters will differ by several points from those who vote earlier in the day. Which way they will differ—I have no idea.”

January 29th, 2008 at 3:34 pm

bbartlog

Which way they will differ—I have no idea

A good bet is that retirees are proportionally a larger chunk of the earlier voters than the later ones. If the CW that McCain has an edge among older voters is true, then we would expect Romney to gain a little as later returns are added. But the most recent polls suggest that there isn’t much difference in preference between older and younger voters (at least as regards McCain vs Romney), so who knows?
Looks like a squeaker in any case…

January 29th, 2008 at 4:04 pm

Curt

Some more:

FOX NEWS EXIT POLL RESULTS

Senior Citizens– McCain 40, Romney 31, Giuliani 18, Huckabee 7

Veterans– McCain 37, Romney 36, Giuliani 14, Huckabee 8

Hispanics– McCain 50, Giuliani 26, Romney 16, Huckabee 5

January 29th, 2008 at 4:33 pm